Re: All time high.
- From: Weatherlawyer <Weatherlawyer@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2008 15:30:39 -0700 (PDT)
On Apr 11, 8:54 pm, Pete L <peterlaving...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On 11 Apr, 17:19, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On Apr 11, 10:55 am, Weatherlawyer <Weatherlaw...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
I was looking for Russian and or Chinese sea level pressure charts
when I came across this:http://wxmaps.org/pix/hemi.00hr.html
I don't normally do upper atmosphere stuff as I have never studied it
but since it is such a pretty piccie and so fine an example of Rossby
Waves that coupled with the dead central SLP which is and has been
rather an high High for so long...
BTW, anyone got a site for that northern Asian stuff? It is so visibly
absent on here:http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/analysis/947_50.gif
So that Arctic high is what is doing-in the tropical storms we should
be having?
Here is what might happen over the Olympics:
August 8, 2008, to August 24, 2008,
Aug 1 10:13
Aug 8 20:20
Aug 16 21:16
Aug 23 23:50
Aug 30 19:58
1 Aug
8 Aug
16 Aug
23 Aug
30 Aug
1 Aug 10:13 -6 = 04:13 = 04:00
8 Aug 20:20 -6x3 = 02:20 = 02:00
16 Aug 21:16 -6x3 = 03:16 = 03:00
23 Aug 23:50 -6x3 = 05:50 = 06:00
30 Aug 19:58 -6x3 = 01:58 = 02:00
Well going by the present set up which I suspect is somewhat of a
rarity, the following spells should hold true:
04:13 = O4:00
There seems to be a lot of tornadic activity on the central plains of
the USA with these when there is no tropical storm extant. I believe
this idea is true so long as there is quite a strong High over the
Arctic.
02:20 = 02:00
This is a spell for tornadoes in Britain I believe though I will have
to check. And something called derechos in the USA. Again the spell
depends on the state of things in the tropics and in the Arctic.
03:16 = 03:00
This is a time for thunder rolling in from the North Atlantic. In
Britain there are two sources of thunderous weather one such is from
heat and humidity sent up from Spain. The other is fronts from the
Atlantic. I can't say I am as au fait with there situation as I aught
to be.
05:50 = 06:00
This is a spell for mists and in winter frosts and in the North
Atlantic deep Lows. There are usually Hurricanes in the season when
this spell occurs.
01:58 = 02:00
And once again tornadic weather here/derechos in the US.
Unfortunately I have no access to Chinese weather data. There is a
fairly good weather Chinese site which I can't seem to find at the
moment. I will have to do so I know and follow it carefully.
In the meant time working with a modicum of interpolation, I imagine
that the weather would run somewhat similar to the recent spells as
the times of the phases for them are not that dissimilar.
From reading your posts you are obviously into a link between
earthquakes/hurricanes and current weather. I'm not dismissing all
this stuff but what about some explanation. What exactly are these
numbers you are coming up with? Do they have units? What exactly do we
infer from them? Do you have a web site with some kind of explanation?
Otherwise I could come out with - 37 x todays max - 7.7896x last
Tuesdays MSLP / 89 and tell you that it looks like a good summer this
year.
Sometime in the middle of the 19th century there was a governor of one
of the Caribbean Islands or that coaling station in the mid Atlantic
between South America and Britain, I don't have a clue which nor
where. But he collected the data that was popular in those days before
the Met Office and Cleveland Abbe in the USA were collating data.
He analysed his pressure records and noticed some sort of a pressure
wave that crossed his station at noon and in the morning and evening.
He got no further than that with it. But if there was a relationship
it still exists.
And thus needs explaining.
When I first started looking at this stuff I came across a book
published by some fool at the beginning of the Edwardian era. It
didn't actually reveal anything of much use but it did make reference
to someone who was published in certain London periodicals.
What the writer claimed was that this man was successfully predicting
weather events. Some other misleading claims were included and a lot
of dross. But I didn't know anything in those days so I tried
following it all up.
In the process I learned a bit about astronomy and a lot about how the
moon affects us.
And I have hardly scratched the surface yet. If god spares me long
enough perhaps I will be able to make accurate forecasts of not only
the weather but earthquakes. And maybe the other geophysical phenomena
too.
Why not?
Before the internet it would have been impossible to collate these
facts. It was necessary for someone who wasn't blinded by science to
make the first steps. That was me. But they are just the first steps.
The problem as I thought it, until these last few weeks was that when
there was a massive tropical storm, the effect of the spell was
knocked back so many hours from what the weather in Britain should be
for such times of phases as pertained.
I even got as far as being able to gauge the potency of cyclones. And
the same sort of thing held true for earthquakes. The result of some
not very careful transposition or inter/extra~polation was that I was
also able to gague the power of these thing compared to each other.
In other words a Cat 3 tropical cyclone produced similar changes in
Britain's weather to that produced by a Mag 7 earthquake. All very
rule of thumb of course. But if the time of the phase was for example
07:00 we could expect to get wet spells with a Low pressure area
hanging around most of the week.
But if there was a tropical storm of Cat 3 say, then we'd be enjoying
(I forget exactly but let's say for argument) weather that we should
normally expect if the time of the phase was 05:00 or maybe 04:00 (but
I was always thrown by those latter times.)
On the other hand if the same thing was happening without the storm,
it'd end up with a mag 7 or so earthquake. I also noticed that the
degree of confidence and accuracy of standard met methods would fall
when it was going to be an earthquake. Of course, being part of
weather models, a tropical storm wouldn't throw them quite so badly.
Another thing was that after a tropical storm there was almost always
a series of Mag 6 quakes in the same part of the same ocean.
Then I noticed a coincidence with the frequency of earthquakes in the
North East Pacific occurring with the way that anticyclones left the
North American continent.
And to bring you up to date there is this business with Arctic Highs.
Sometimes instead of falling off the continental shelf at Cape
Hatteras like they should some of them would occasionally slip up the
east coast and enter the Arctic Ocean by way of Greenland and ***
everything up big time.
And the next thing you know I'll have an handle on it.
And the next thing you know I will have forgotten what it was by the
time it next comes around.
.
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