Today's model interpretation (29/06/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0535z,
29 June 06.

The models still show an easterly spell but there are large uncertainties
over a potential breakdown. The most likely option remains that of rain
pushing up from the south, but as ever more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
The UK lies under easterlies with low pressure to the south. The winds ease
at T+144 as pressure falls slowly over the UK and by T+168 the UK lies under
a col with light winds for most.

MetO: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run also shows easterlies, this time with lows to the SE and SW.
The winds become lighter at T+144 as a col moves over Ireland.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
High pressure covers the Baltic with a ridge westwards to the north of
Scotland. Easterlies cover the UK as a result, followed by ESE'lies for many
at T+144. By then low pressure covers southern England and Wales and on day
7 the low moves northwards, introducing westerlies to much of England and
Wales.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Easterlies cover England, Northern Ireland and Wales with SE'lies for
Scotland as the result of a high over Norway.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run brings a mixture of easterlies and ENE'lies over the UK,
with high pressure over Norway.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NGP shows complex low pressure to the west and SW, with high pressure to the
NE. This leads to southerlies and SE'lies over the UK.


.

Relevant Pages

  • Todays model interpretation (6/01/10)
    ... Next week will start with high pressure to the north and NE'lies across the UK. ... At the 500hPa level there's an upper low to the NW and easterlies aloft for the UK. ... ECM has NE'lies for all with a high to the NE, while MetO brings ENE'lies with a high over southern Norway. ...
    (uk.sci.weather)
  • Todays model interpretation (22/07/05)
    ... The models continue to show high pressure close to Iceland and southerly ... Northerlies cover the UK due to a high to the WNW and a low to the NE. ... easterlies, followed by easterlies and NW'lies at T+168 as low pressure ... A col covers the UK with light winds for all. ...
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  • Todays model interpretation (5/06/07)
    ... The jet stream chart shows a weak jet across the North Atlantic, with a ridge over the UK and a trough to the west. ... GEM has ENE'lies with a high to the north and NGP brings high pressure over Scotland with ENE'lies elsewhere. ... A weak high covers Scotland and Northern Ireland on day 6, leading to ENE'lies elsewhere, while on day 7 pressure falls to the south, introducing moderate easterlies. ...
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  • Todays model interpretation (30/04/08)
    ... The end of the weekend will see SSE'lies and SE'lies over the UK, with a trough bringing cloud and possibly rain to western areas. ... Into next week pressure will rise to the NE, bringing ESE'lies or easterlies and with murk for some eastern areas. ... Day 6 sees easterlies and ESE'lies with high pressure to the NE and a ridge over the UK. ...
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  • Todays model interpretation (Christmas Day 2008)
    ... Current indications are that although the high will be displaced, winds from an easterly quarter will persist over the UK bringing rather cold conditions. ... By the start of the New Year, the ECM and GFS show high pressure to the north influencing the UK, backing the winds easterly or NE'ly. ... On Saturday high pressure persists to the NE with lighter winds for Scotland and a mixture of ENE'lies and easterlies elsewhere. ...
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