Re: Ankle deep in moaning Minnie's

In article <aOGrAOGeCotDFwdU@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>,
Norman Lynagh <normanthisbit@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> writes:
>According to the Head of the Met Office Operations Centre, when
>interviewed on Radio 4 earlier this week, Flash Weather warnings are
>issued when there is at least an 80 percent chance of the event
>occurring. By that definition, a 50/50 knife-edge situation should not
>trigger a Flash warning.

It would be interesting to know what the Flash Warnings "hit rate" is. I
would bet that it's nowhere near 80%. I would assume that the Met Office
must review their warnings and have the statistics, but I can't see them
being made public.
--
John Hall

"I am not young enough to know everything."
Oscar Wilde (1854-1900)
.

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