Re: I don't believe it!!!


"Bertie Wiggins" <no.valid.email.address@xxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:7dgch15q44jikie6u5hbdvjb0hd8l147ro@xxxxxxxxxx
> On Thu, 1 Sep 2005 00:25:38 +0100, "Tumbleweed"
> <thisaccountneverread@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>>> A 2% to 3% improvement every 2 - 3 years will soon make a significant
>>> difference.
>>
>>...and whats that got to do with the KP which is a 2% improvement every
>>100
>>years??
>
> The logic of a confirmed optimist:
>
> All nations adopt the Kyoto Protocol, giving a 3% improvement.

....in 100 years, according to the KP proponents themselves.

>
> After 2 years they realise it isn't enough so adopt an new protocol
> giving a further 3% improvement - giving an overall 6.1% improvement.

No, thats after another 100.

>
> After a further 2 years yet another 3% improvement protocol is
> adopted. Gain 9.2%
>
> Another 2 years - 12.5%
>
> Another 2 years - 15.9%
>
> ... 19.4% ... 23% ... 26.7% ... 30.4% ... 34.4% ...

Ah, thats the old Tory philosophy of always being able to cut another
percent or two off wages, costs, etc. Eventually something breaks.

>
> And we leave a clean land for our children's children to inherit.

You also ignore the costs of implementing KP, which could have a deleterious
effect because, for example, money wont be spent on flood defences, because
its been spent on Kyoto. Plus the psychological effect because people will
say 'hey we signed the agreement so no need to protect against floods (etc)
now".

You also ignore the increased pollution as production is shifted from
relatively clean power plants in the West to relatively (and absolutely in
some cases) dirty power plants in China, India etc, potentially leaving a
dirtier land for their children's children to inherit.

>
> Seriously, any improvement is a step in the right direction, and
> certainly better than burying your head in the sand.

No, "any" improvement is not necessarily a step in the right direction, it
depends on the cost and what else is sacrificed. For example, if it takes
money away from other projects that would bring a better return, either in
time or numbers. Suppose the 3% improvement came at the cost of curing
malaria or providing clean water to everyone? There are two projects that
would save many more lives than reducing GW by 3% or 30%.

Or since we'll have floods, hurricanes etc in any event, maybe its a better
idea to spend the money on more effective defences, or even moving cities
away from land liable to flooding ,rather than on low return projects like
Kyoto? (Maybe its not, but better do the sums than blindly jump in)

The simple reflex action of saying we must 'stop' GW isnt based on logic,
its based on emotion.

--
Tumbleweed

email replies not necessary but to contact use;
tumbleweednews at hotmail dot com


.

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