Re: Dr Malcolm Ogilvie's madness?

On Thu, 13 Apr 2006 22:11:02 +0100, Malcolm
<Malcolm@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:


In article <1hdr35f.1c5bc8l9539cyN%larry@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Larry
Stoter <larry@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> writes
<amacmil304@xxxxxxx> wrote:

Dr Malcolm Ogilvie's madness?

In a recent posting I asked Dr Malcolm Ogilvie the following question
about bird flu:

"Are you saying there's no risk to a child putting an infected faeces
in its mouth?".

He replied:

"I'm saying that any risk is virtually non-existent."

Is this man mad?


Angus Macmillan
www.roots-of-blood.org.uk
www.killhunting.org
www.con-servation.org.uk

The old problem of a very small risk multiplied against a disastrous
conseqence.

Like the vanishlingly small chance that there are enough voters in the
USA (or UK) to vote for a obvious psychopath such a George II (or tone)
.... perhaps not the best example :-)

Anyway, coming from a background in the 'hard' sciences, unlike Dr
Ogilvie, I would have to disagree with his assessment. He obviously
hasn't a clue - the chances of a child contracting bird 'flu by
ingesting infected faeces are, in fact, greater than being hit by a
green kryptonite metorite while driving to the reserve, always assuming
that there is also a pig flying past at the same time.

LOL!

Even that's more likely than Angus joining the RSPB :-)


I thought I'd get that sort of response from the birdwatching freaks.

That's why I posted it here :-))

Fortunately in the wider society, no one really takes you lot
seriously. You're in the same social set as sad train spotters and
car number plate observers - although the latter seem to have died out
when the numbers got too complicated for them.

However, there is a risk that the virus could mutate and the further
one stays away from migrant birds the more the risk diminishes and the
East Coast reserves are just where the greatest probability of risk
exists in the UK The risk may be small at present but things can
change.

I bet the people who worked in the Twin Towers on Sept 11 all thought
they'd be home for tea.


Angus Macmillan
www.roots-of-blood.org.uk
www.killhunting.org
www.con-servation.org.uk
.

Relevant Pages

  • Re: Angus Macmillans stupidity
    ... nonsense claim of yours about the risk of catching avian flu confirms ... being risky to go to a bird reserve. ... bird reserves well down the list of risky places, ...
    (uk.environment.conservation)
  • Re: Bird Flu - France
    ... Bradshaw will be hung out to dry, and Blair ... and no-one is saying "no" risk ... Bird Flu is probably already here. ...
    (uk.business.agriculture)
  • Re: NO NEED TO FEAR BIRD FLU
    ... I accept that you don't understand risk assessment or probabilities. ... reserve where there could be wildfowl infected with bird flu. ... All of my suggestions above are more likely than anyone getting bird flu ... view it is now safe to go to bird reserves? ...
    (uk.environment.conservation)
  • Re: NO NEED TO FEAR BIRD FLU
    ... Llanelli need not fear about the risk of bird flu. ... to avoid visiting reserves. ... National Wetland Centre in South Wales, and the fact that you are ...
    (uk.environment.conservation)
  • Re: Angus Macmillans stupidity
    ... I said there was no risk when the people went to Cellardykes to see ... where the bird had been found. ... It's prudent to avoid bird reserves within infection ...
    (uk.environment.conservation)