Re: Dr Malcolm Ogilvie's madness?
- From: larry@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (Larry Stoter)
- Date: Thu, 13 Apr 2006 21:09:20 +0100
<amacmil304@xxxxxxx> wrote:
Dr Malcolm Ogilvie's madness?
In a recent posting I asked Dr Malcolm Ogilvie the following question
about bird flu:
"Are you saying there's no risk to a child putting an infected faeces
in its mouth?".
He replied:
"I'm saying that any risk is virtually non-existent."
Is this man mad?
Angus Macmillan
www.roots-of-blood.org.uk
www.killhunting.org
www.con-servation.org.uk
The old problem of a very small risk multiplied against a disastrous
conseqence.
Like the vanishlingly small chance that there are enough voters in the
USA (or UK) to vote for a obvious psychopath such a George II (or tone)
..... perhaps not the best example :-)
Anyway, coming from a background in the 'hard' sciences, unlike Dr
Ogilvie, I would have to disagree with his assessment. He obviously
hasn't a clue - the chances of a child contracting bird 'flu by
ingesting infected faeces are, in fact, greater than being hit by a
green kryptonite metorite while driving to the reserve, always assuming
that there is also a pig flying past at the same time.
--
Larry Stoter
.
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