Re: Bill gates and the 'next digital decade'

DVDfever Dom wrote:
On 12 Jan, 17:27, "DAB sounds worse than FM" <dab.is@dead> wrote:

That's okay; I'm simply telling you that if one of the formats wins
the format war early then you will end up with egg on your face much
sooner than I'd have expected.

Wins "the format war"? If both fail, how is that a 'win'?


One will win.


There's a recession on its way and Joe Punter's struggling to keep
the roof on his house, let alone buy a new format of DVD player.

Yeah, DVD players are really expensive aren't they (i.e. once the
sales volume gets up to high levels, HD DVD players will be at
similar price levels to current DVD players).

As I've explained before, but just for anyone who's missed it, Joe
Punter didn't really get interested in DVD in big numbers until the
players were under £100, and from that point it wasn't long until they
were under £50. However, this was a massive difference from VHS and,
has also been pointed out by others, Joe Punter just sees the HD
equivalents as 'another DVD'.

Plus, the players need to sell at high enough prices to be viable and
as Joe Punter is happy with a £15 DVD player from Tesco and discs for
a few quid from Amazon (under a fiver, once something's been out a few
months), that's the nail in the coffin for any HD disc-based format
for the time being and you cannot say different.


No, HD DVD will take over from DVD. Accept this, please.


day, but Blu Ray looks like it's got it all sewn up now, in which
case HD will officially become monumentally massively successful in
a very short period of time.

Oh yeah, because everyone we all come across at work, in the street,
etc, can't stop talking about it(!)

It's not doing badly according to Google News:

http://news.google.co.uk/news?hl=en&tab=wn&ned=uk&q=dvd&btnG=Search+News

PMSL! The top article is from January 2006! Is that the best you can
do?


Presumably Google News is malfunctioning on your computer.


'James O'Connell stares at the flat screen television that is playing
the latest Harry Potter film on the latest player. It is a Blu-ray,
the device now tipped to replace DVD players in every living room.
"It's all right," he says.'

Neil Kinnock also said "We're all right", back in 1992. They weren't.

Just because something new comes out doesn't mean anyone buys it in
viable numbers: DAT, DCC, Minidisc, SACD, DVD-A... add HD-DVD and
Blu-Ray to the list.

Just because some new formats don't make it doesn't mean that no new
formats will make it.

Face it, Dom, you're gonna lose bad.

Nope. The particular one's tanking. It's too soon after DVD for Joe
Punter. Perhaps the next format, if they give it another 10 years.


You're wrong. How many times do I have to tell you this before you accept
it?


--
Steve - www.digitalradiotech.co.uk - Digital Radio News & Info

The adoption of DAB was the most incompetent technical
decision ever made in the history of UK broadcasting:
http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/dab/incompetent_adoption_of_dab.htm


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