The High-Dam in Assuan might brake anytime from Quake ( Zilzal) ,
- From: richter <richterscala@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2008 07:15:43 -0700 (PDT)
QUAKE happenes and people ask, what is with the earth, this day its
telling her informations,
how the Lord did inspire her and this day the mankind will know,
what they have done and that one has done an atoms weight good will
see it
and that one has done a atoms deed bad , will see it. ( Sure Zilzal
in
the end of the Ouran )
The High-Dam in Assuan might brake anytime from Quake ( Zilzal) ,
following Ignorance, pride, guilt of numerous Sins, forgefullness of
ALLAH
Richter View profile
More options Jun 7, 8:07 pm
From: Richter <quakeforecast@xxxxxxxxx>
Date: Sat, 7 Jun 2008 10:07:06 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Sat, Jun 7 2008 8:07 pm
Subject: science earthquake prediction
If you are interested about science earthquake prediction, please
open
here:
http://earthquake.hit.bg , go to several features, watch Quake
worldwide and on video.
You watch earthquake prediction in the Bulgarian newspapers, the new
theory about earthquakes,
forecasts for current Month 2008. More than 800 World locations. If
locations are repeat,
this is sign that the probability is more.
The moon make the tides in the oceans, raising the water. But the
moon
raises up the earth crust.
In this moment the moon makes the earthquake... With respect: Boyko
Iliev
"Allah has created mankind and Djinn only to worship him", the most
people of Egypt have forgotten Allah
The High-Dam in Assuan might brake anytime from Quake ( Zilzal) ,
following Ignorance, pride , guilt of numerous Sins, forgetullness of
ALLAH, the Flood about hundred meters high would kill immediately
like
a skyhigh Building falling on people the people from Assuan to Luxor
and even reaching Cairo it maybe thirty meters high and nobody can
live there anymore, no electricity, no water, no structure, no
sewage,
no food, the death of at least 70 millions egyptians.
The surviving will envy the dead-Ones.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsanim/world.php here the
recent quakes of the last days in motion.
http://earthquake.hit.bg go on YOU TUBE and watch terrible quakes to
imagine, what powers are coming,if you did watch TV the last times
you
might have noticed, that the last time might have arrived, Quakes
( zilzal,tsunamis)and Hurricans ( al quariah) , China and Murma and
finally Japan.
You might save your soul, but not your body and 70 million people of
egypt can not live in the desert without food. !
By Russ Moore
Barry Goodno is one of several Tech professors who specialize in
earthquakes. For most of 30 years, he�s been researching and
preparing
for a worst-case scenario.
To understand what could happen, first consider the events of Feb. 7,
1812. The United States of America was 24 years old. President Thomas
Jefferson had completed the Louisiana Purchase less than a decade
before, and Lewis and Clark�s expedition was still the stuff of
parlor
talk. Savannah was Georgia�s most populated city, with about 5,500
residents; Missouri was considered Indian territory, and Americans
were only just beginning to migrate westward into a largely uncharted
frontier.
At about 9:45 that Monday morning, the largest earthquake that has
ever struck the continental United States destroyed the sparsely
inhabited town of New Madrid, Mo. The scope of this earthquake makes
even the great San Francisco quake of 1906 pale in comparison; the
New
Madrid quake shook every square inch of the United States. Large
pieces of furniture moved in Cincinnati (population 2,500). Church
bells rang in Boston. A large lake suddenly appeared in Tennessee.
The
Mississippi River appeared to reverse course, and witnesses as far
north as Canada and as far south as the Gulf Coast recorded the Earth
moving.
The population of the Mississippi Valley that day is estimated to
have
been between 10,000 and 15,000 people. Remarkably few were killed,
mostly the victims of collapsing brick chimneys.
Today, seismologists comparing damage reports have calculated the
magnitude of the New Madrid quake to have been between 8.0 and 8.8 on
the Richter scale. If such a quake were to strike today, the
epicenter
would affect an area bisected by the Mississippi River and inhabited
by nearly 10 million people in four states. And unlike the early
1800s, today the Mississippi is a nationally critical conduit for
commerce, crossed by barge traffic, railroad and interstate bridges,
and fiber-optic landlines.
Recent earthquakes across the globe indicate the level of damage that
is possible. The Chi-Chi earthquake that struck Taiwan Sept. 21
measured 7.6 on the Richter scale. Though the epicenter was more than
100 miles from the island�s capital of Taipei, 2,100 people were
killed, 9,000 injured, 80,000 left homeless�and more than 12,000
buildings were seriously damaged.
Goodno and his earthquake team now have an opportunity to test
building durability in the nation's largest and best-constructed
engineering lab.
Worse still, the Aug. 17 earthquake in Kocaeli, Turkey, at a
magnitude
of 7.4, killed 15,000 (with 30,000 still missing) and threatened the
Turkish government�s ability to maintain order. Still, neither of
these quakes affected an area as broad and as densely populated as
would a quake in America�s heartland.
For reasons yet unknown, earthquakes along the New Madrid fault
affect
a much larger area�between 10 and 30 times greater�than the more
familiar and more frequent earthquakes in California. As a result,
the
consequences of an 8.0 mid-America temblor would be devastating.
�The truth is, we�re in big trouble,� said Goodno. �A mid-America
earthquake would probably cause the greatest loss of life outside of
war in our nation�s history. The economic disruption would be tens of
billions, and it could take decades to recover.�
Though not a popular scenario in movies or with the public, the
sobering realities of a mid-America earthquake prompted the National
Science Foundation to establish the Mid-America Earthquake Center
(MAEC), one of three regional earthquake centers. Goodno is the
center�s Southeast regional director, and he also coordinates MAEC�s
Essential Facilities Program.
Goodno�s research is but the first �baby-step� in preparing the
region
to cope with a devastating earthquake by preparing for emergency
services to survive it. �We define essential facilities as those
structures necessary for post-earthquake emergency response and
disaster management,� he said. �The list includes emergency
management
centers, police and fire stations, hospitals, and potential
shelters�including school buildings.�
The vast majority of buildings along the fault are older unreinforced
masonry or URM structures, which is unfortunately the type of
facility
most likely to be destroyed or damaged in an earthquake. Observers in
Turkey, including one of Goodno�s colleagues from Tech, Donald White,
confirm that URM buildings are the proverbial equivalent of the
biblical �house upon the sand.�
Goodno and MAEC researchers have performed essential facility audits
for Carbondale, Ill., and Sikeston, Mo. The studies list each
community�s essential facilities, analyze their structural
weaknesses,
and recommend costs for retrofitting them. The scholars also work
with
communities to help determine how to balance these costs against
other
pressing government expenses. Considering that MAEC covers the entire
Southeast and Midwest, the picture of how much work there is to be
done becomes much more clear.
Goodno is not put off by the magnitude of the task, however. Instead,
he is motivated by the engineering challenges and encouraged by the
thought of lives being saved. �Bill Sangster offered me the chance in
the mid-�70s to come to Georgia Tech and get something started,� he
said. �We�ve been able to develop research programs and curricula
that
didn�t exist before, all of which were badly needed.� Sangster is now
retired as Tech�s dean of Engineering.
Goodno got in on the ground floor of what has become an
internationally recognized team of earthquake experts. Today, when
earthquakes strike anywhere in the world, local and national media
frequently call on colleagues Tim Long (Geophysical Sciences) and
Roberto Leon and Larry Kahn (Civil and Environmental Engineering).
Goodno is pleased with the visibility these experts generate for
Tech,
while keeping a lower profile himself.
�It�s a pleasure to work at Tech because of the quality of my
students. They�re like sponges,� he said. �And we�ve made huge
strides
in the last 20-plus years, not all of which have found their way into
practice.�
In fact, the structural-engineering concepts researched and developed
at Tech could be very lucrative if patented�a fact that doesn�t alter
Goodno�s approach to his work.
�I don�t file for patents on designs pointed to by our research. We
publish and keep working. There�s still so much to do. Though we�ve
made big strides, science is still very new at this business. It�s
like peeking in through a pinhole.�
In an effort to better learn how to make structures earthquake-
resistant, Goodno has been shaking real buildings for years now,
going
back to the construction of Atlanta landmarks like Colony Square,
Tower Place and the Georgia Power Building. In the �70s, he
collaborated with Aerospace Engineering Professor Jim Craig to build
a
device 9 feet square, loaded with 1 ton of bricks. Goodno and Craig
would place the device on the upper floors, shake the building for a
few seconds, then turn the device off and measure �damping��how long
it takes the building to come back to rest.
The research has always been valuable, as have been Tech�s computer
models of structures under stress. But the accuracy of computer
modeling is difficult to document, and while the scarcity of
earthquakes is good for inhabitants, it is tough on science. So
Goodno
and his colleagues are understandably excited about having the
largest
and best structural engineering lab in the country at Georgia Tech.
The new large-scale Structural Engineering Laboratory was dedicated
last April a few blocks from the campus on Northside Drive.
How big is it?
When the first test is conducted next year, an actual two-story
building will be �loaded� repeatedly. Goodno and the MAEC researchers
will test unreinforced masonry-wall structures and light steel-frame
structures, developing performance-based design concepts for
retrofitted structures, and comparing predicted and observed
behaviors
under simulated earthquake conditions.
�Basically, we�ll see how well our computer predictions match
reality,� said Goodno, �and that pinhole should get a little larger.�
Russ Moore is a freelance writer living in Atlanta.
"Allah has created mankind and Djinn only to worship him", the most
people of Egypt have forgotten Allah
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