Re: Universal Ancestors
- From: "Perplexed in Peoria" <jimmenegay@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2008 20:35:46 -0500
"John Harshman" <jharshman.diespamdie@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message news:gni0l.7318$W06.6011@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Perplexed in Peoria wrote:
Harshman's 'coalescence' is actually much more relevant to
evolution than the kind of thing that the OP was talking about;
because having descendents does not necessarily mean that
any of your genes have been passed on. The naive calculation
shows that one has 2^10 = 1024 ancestors 10 generations back
(assuming no inbreeding).
Which is a bad assumption, that far back, by the way. Though marrying a
10th cousin isn't exactly inbreeding.
But it is probably the case that fewer
than 400 of those ancestors left you any of their genes. The
rest were unlucky in the chromosome crossover and segregation
lottery which takes place during reproduction.
I would be interested in your calculations of this number.
Ok. First let me make a correction. I wrote "fewer than 400".
I should have written "fewer than 700". I learned this calculation
from Joe Felsenstein over on sci.bio.evolution. But he made the
mistake of figuring the number of ancestors for a single genome's
worth of genes (23 chromosomes), whereas we actually each have
two genome's worth (46 chromosomes). I repeated Joe's mistake
when I wrote "fewer than 400".
The key fact is that crossing-over in meiosis takes place roughly
every 10^8 bp. That makes roughly 70 crossover points among
the 46 chromosomes. So, while it can be said that we received
46 'pieces' of genome from our parents (23 from each), we
got 46 + 70 = 116 pieces from our grandparents (an average
of 29 from each. Each 'piece' was inherited in toto from a single
ancestor. Those pieces have not been broken up by recombination
in the course of being passed to you.
So, we can create a table, giving for each generation the number
of ancestors and the number of pieces.
Generation # of ancestors # of chromosome pieces
01 2 46
02 4 116
03 8 186
04 16 256
05 32 326
06 64 396
07 128 466
08 256 536
09 512 606
10 1024 676
In generation #10 the ancestor count finally passes up the piece
count, so some of the ancestors do not get to contribute a piece.
And it only gets worse as you increase the number of generations.
You will have to think about it to see the reason why the piece
count only goes up by 70 with each generation, rather than
doubling like the ancestor count.
.
- Follow-Ups:
- Re: Universal Ancestors
- From: John Harshman
- Re: Universal Ancestors
- References:
- Universal Ancestors
- From: JennyB
- Re: Universal Ancestors
- From: John Harshman
- Re: Universal Ancestors
- From: Inez
- Re: Universal Ancestors
- From: Perplexed in Peoria
- Re: Universal Ancestors
- From: John Harshman
- Universal Ancestors
- Prev by Date: Re: What is science? (Question for Ray)
- Next by Date: Re: What is science? (Question for Ray)
- Previous by thread: Re: Universal Ancestors
- Next by thread: Re: Universal Ancestors
- Index(es):
Relevant Pages
|