Re: The philosophical Turkey: The difference between verification and
- From: Seanpit <seanpitnospam@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Wed, 12 Dec 2007 10:52:14 -0800 (PST)
The thing is, presenting a hypothesis that is ultimately falsified
doesn't mean that that original hypothesis wasn't the best and most
scientifically reasonable conclusion given the limited data that was
originally available. In short, just because a scientific hypothesis
or theory is ultimately falsified doesn't mean that it wasn't really
scientific. All scientific hypotheses should be open to potential
falsification or at least practical if not absolute falsification.
Some hypotheses, such as the one presented here by Forrest, are open
to absolute falsification as stated. However, not all scientific
hypotheses can be absolutely falsified. They can only be falsified in
degree - i.e., to a practical level of statistical "significance".
For example, most hypotheses regarding medical treatment cannot be
absolutely falsified. Some can only be falsified in degree - i.e., to
a p-value that is greater than the pre-determined level of
significance.
Of course, the lack of the complete falsifiability does not mean that
medical science and other such hypotheses and theories (like chaos
theory and other theories that involve the use of concepts like
randomness) aren't really true sciences. They are - despite Richard's
claims to the contrary.
Sean Pitman
www.DetectingDesign.com
.
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