# Re: Laws of Mathematical Probablilities -The Old Testament contains over three hundred prophecies or references to the coming of the

On Mon, 7 Nov 2005 18:23:21 -0700, "Richard Dawkins"
<Dawkins@xxxxxxxx> wrote:

>Laws of
>Mathematical Probablilities
>http://members.shaw.ca/mark.64/hcib/mathlaw.html
>Mathematicians generally consider any event with a probability of less than
>1 chance in 10 to the 50th power (a 1 with 50 zeros after it) as having a
>zero probability (it is impossible). According to the French expert on
>probability, Emile Borel, his "single law of chance" (1 chance in 10 to the
>50th power) beyond which things never occur, "carries with it a certainty of
>another nature than mathematical certainty.it is comparable even to the
>certainty with which we attribute to the existence of the external world."
> As you read these next few pages remember that any event that has a
>probability of greater than 1 in 10 to the 50th power will never have
>occurred and/or never will occur.
>
>1. The Old Testament contains over three hundred prophecies or references to
>the coming of the
>Messiah. Forty-eight of these prophecies refer specifically to the life,
>death, and resurrection of Jesus. All of the more than 300 prophecies were
>published during an eleven hundred -year period that ended four centuries
>before Jesus was born in Bethlehem. Professor Peter Stoner, using the laws
>and science of mathematical probabilities confirmed and supported by H.
>Harold Hartzler of the American Scientific Affiliation looked at the
>probability of 8 prophecies, and 48 prophecies being fulfilled in one
>person; Jesus Christ.
>
> The eight prophecies are as follows:

the problem with these prophecies is that the authors who wrote the
gospels knew about them so it was all to easy to write the life of
jesus to make it appear he fulfilled them

>
>
>2. THE PROBABILITY OF 17 PROPHECIES COMING TRUE IN ONE MAN; JESUS
>CHRIST.
>
>The prophecies:
>i) He would be born in Bethlehem and be descended from the tribe of Judah;
>Probability: 1 chance in 2,400;

proof that he was?

none.

>ii) A messenger would precede the Messiah; Probability: 1 chance in 20;

proof that he did? none

>iii) He would enter Jerusalem on a colt; Probability: 1 chance in 50

proof that he did? none.

>
>Now consider this.
>
>DeNouy, assuming 500 trillion shakings (chance action and normal thermal
>agitation) per second plus a liquid material volume equal to the size of the
>earth, estimates that it would require 10 to the 243rd billions of years for
>one single molecule to form. Remember that this is only one molecule, and
>millions are needed.

funny that thousands of proteins exist in our bodies. they contain
thousands of atoms all arranged in a precise order...by DNA. no magic
needed.

>
>
>Harold Morowitz, a Yale University physicist calculated that the odds of a
>single bacterium emerging from the basic building blocks necessary were 1
>chance in 10 to the 100,000,000,000th power.

since we don't know HOW the first bacterium originated, such a
calculation...if it really exists..is guesswork

>Professor Michael Behe is an associate professor of biochemistry at Lehigh
>University

and those of us who are lehigh graduates would be happy if he quit
telling people this...

and author of Darwin's Black Box: The Biochemical Challenge to
>Evolution. He makes it very clear that "I am not a creationist." Professor
>Behe closes his book with the following words which are inspired by the
>facts of science: "As we reach the end of this book, we are left with no
>substantive defense against what feels to be a strange conclusion: that life
>was designed by an intelligent agent."

how? how was it designed? if he can't tell us how then it's not
science, it's magic. funny that intelligence is ALWAYS seen linked to
matter (e. g. brains) yet creationists like behe say it's not.

.