Re: Your Communication Problems
- From: Rich Townsend <rhdt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Mon, 08 Aug 2005 14:36:30 -0400
Neil W Rickert wrote:
> Rich Townsend <rhdt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> writes:
>
>>Neil W Rickert wrote:
>
>
>>>That's really a reflection on problems in philosophy of science. We
>>>learned the notion of "prediction" from physics, where you have laws
>>>where time is a key variable. The equations of physics directly lead
>>>to the prediction of future events, because of the role of time as
>>>variable. But there are many scientific laws where time is not a key
>>>variable, and those laws can only make predictions with a different
>>>understanding of the meaning of "predict".
>
>
>>I would disagree with this interpretation. 'Prediction', whether it be
>>in physics or in evolutionary biology, is not restricted to those events
>>occurring in the future. It applies to all relevant phenomena that have
>>not comprised the specific input axioms during the development of one's
>>hypothesis (this restriction serves to rule out trivial circular
>>'proofs'). This is why it remains meaningful to talk about the
>>predictions of ToE or stellar astrophysics, even though both of these
>>endeavours study phenomena that actually occurred long into the past.
>
>
> I'm not sure what you think you are disagreeing with.
I think I was disagreeing with the first part of your paragraph at the
top. Upon reading the rest of the paragraph more carefully, I see that I
misunderstood the thrust of your post -- apologies!
However, I'm not really sure that Ken Shaw and I were disagreeing on the
meaning of 'predict'. It was more that I was asking him to showcase some
of the successes of ToE, but he instead chose to showcase his limited
understanding of atomic physics.
cheers,
Rich
.
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