US Sea Levels May Rise More As Greenland’s Glaciers Melt.
- From: Harry Hope <rivrvu@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 28 May 2009 19:16:37 -0400
http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1695940/us_sea_levels_may_rise_more_as_greenlands_glaciers_melt/
Thursday, 28 May 2009
US Sea Levels May Rise More As Greenland?s Glaciers Melt
Scientists say that a number of the United States' most populous east
coast cities ? including New York and Boston ? could see higher than
expected rises in sea levels if Greenland?s glacial-melt continues at
its current rate.
Researchers reported that sea levels on North America?s northeast
coast could potentially rise by 12 to 20 inches more than other
coastal regions if the melting of Greenland?s ice *** continues to
accelerate.
Because of the tremendous quantity of fresh water released into the
northern Atlantic Ocean, patterns of oceanic water circulation ? known
in the science community as meridional overturning circulation ? could
be temporarily or permanently altered.
?If the Greenland melt continues to accelerate, we could see
significant impacts this century on the northeast U.S. coast from the
resulting sea level rise...Major northeastern cities are directly in
the path of the greatest rise,? explained Aixie Hu, lead author of the
recent article published at the National Center for Atmospheric
Research in Boulder, Colorado.
The assessment offered in this report is significantly more severe
than those offered by previous studies which had predicted rising sea
levels of less than 10 inches.
Earlier studies, however, such as the one published in March in the
journal Nature Geoscience, failed to factor in the effects of
Greenland?s melting ice sheets.
The new study predicts that this could direct an additional 4 to 12
inches of water toward North America?s northeastern coast in
additional to generally rising global sea levels.
In answer to e-mail questions, Hu stated that this could potentially
put residents of coastal metropolises like New York, Boston and
Halifax in danger of a number of unwelcome side effects.
The most clear and present threat would be increased risk of flooding,
but Hu added that drainage systems would also be compromised as salty
ocean water backed-up into river deltas and damaged already frail
ecosystems.
?In a flooding zone, because the higher sea level may impede the
function of the drainage system, the future flood may become more
severe,? he also wrote.
Cities that already have marginal problems with subsidence, or sinking
ground, would very likely begin to see a number of greater
complications.
There is general consensus among climatologists that Greenland?s ice
sheets are melting much faster as a result of global climate change,
which in turn causes global sea levels to rise.
Sea levels, however, do not rise at the same rate around the planet.
The North Atlantic, for example, is currently 28 inches lower that the
North Pacific, because the Atlantic Ocean has a dense layer of deep,
cold water that is not present in the Pacific.
"The oceans will not rise uniformly as the world warms," said Gerald
Meehl, a co-author of the paper.
"Ocean dynamics will push water in certain directions, so some
locations will experience sea level rise that is larger than the
global average."
The rate at which Greenland?s ice is melting has steadily accelerated
by roughly 7 percent a year for each of the last 12 years, said Hu.
This pattern, however, is unlikely to continue for much longer.
Unlikely, but not impossible, said Hu.
As the current levels of carbon dioxide emissions continue to exceed
the numbers projected by the UN?s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
change, it may be possible that the 7 percent annual increase could
indeed continue over the next 50 years, potentially resulting in a
worst-case scenario.
________________________________________________________
Harry
.
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