Re: Balance of payments...
- From: "John Galt" <whoisjohngalt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Fri, 19 Oct 2007 22:14:28 -0500
"Jean Paul" <jobbahut@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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"John Galt" <whoisjohngalt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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"Islander" <nospam@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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In the sometimes bizarre world of right wing finance, we are seeing
increasing desperation in the search for good news. Last week, for
example, the Commerce Department reported a drop in the trade deficit
reported in the Investor's Business Daily as follows:
"Rousing gains for U.S. exports helped narrow the August trade deficit
by 2.4% to $57.6 billion from $59 billion in July, the Commerce
Department said Thursday. Wall Street expected little change.
"U.S. exports grew 0.4% to $138.34 billion, while imports fell 0.4% to
$195.92 billion."
While they noted that this might be partly due to the shaky greenback,
they continued:
"Still, the deficit's decline means that trade is adding to overall U.S.
growth, offsetting a slowing domestic economy."
Meanwhile, we note that the Department of Agriculture reports record
levels of foreign sales of farm products. A good thing, right?
Let's take cotton, for example. The following was reported in the Wall
Street Journal.
"In 2005 cotton subsidies totaled $3.3 billion, up from $30 million in
1995, according to the Environmental Working Group, which tracks U.S.
subsidies. This industrial policy primarily benefits large corporate
farms and their wealthy owners. Of the $19.1 billion that EWG says was
paid out over that decade, the top 10% of cotton-subsidy recipients got
more than 80%, or almost $15.5 billion. The bottom 80% of recipients had
to make do with $1.4 billion. This is a brazen wealth transfer to fat
cats from the tax-paying middle class.
"Because the subsidies eliminate risk and reward production, they also
create a glut on world markets. The main culprit is the loan rate.
Growers borrow from the government at 52 cents per pound of cotton and
pay back their loans at the lower world price. So they produce without
regard to market conditions. As production increases, prices are further
depressed, but no sweat for the grower. He's capturing the spread on his
loan plus his counter-cyclical payments. No wonder the U.S. exports 70%
to 80% of the cotton it grows, and world prices always run well below
the government's high "target" price of 72 cents."
So, what is going on here? The Republican advocates of free market
economy are subsidizing the large cotton growers who then export 41% of
their production at prices that depress the world market. If you go to
the whole report by the Environmental Working Group, one can begin to
learn what the WSJ left out. The result of this subsidy and
corresponding export of cotton (in addition to looking good on the trade
balance bottom line) are:
"In 2003, the top 46 recipients of cotton subsidies, mostly farm
corporations, each received over a millions dollars, while 80 percent of
cotton producers received less than $3,000...more than 60 percent of
farmers collect no subsidies at all.
"This skewed payment distribution is harming our rural communities.
Generous payments to large farms, argue some, contribute to a hike in
land prices and facilitate buy-outs of small farms...Small farmers can't
expand or remain competitive and young farmers can't get into the
business. All of this is pushing family farmers off the land."
But, the damage is not just to small US farmers:
"The corresponding dip in world prices has a significant impact on
cotton-dependent developing countries.
"According to U.N. figures, in 2002 the average cost for a U.S. farmer
to produce a pound of cotton was 86 cents. However, their cotton was
exported at 37 cents-43 percent the cost of production. The 57 percent
difference was paid by U.S. taxpayers and the impact was felt by cotton
farmers unable to compete with artificially deflated prices. Oxfam
estimates that cotton was produced at a net loss to the United States
that year, with the amount of subsidies-$3.9 billion-exceeding the value
of cotton produced by around 20 percent. Despite the fact that the
United States is a high-cost producer on the global stage, low-cost
producers such as Brazil and West Africa are unable to compete with the
high level of subsidies that push prices to record lows.
"Subsidies in relatively wealthy countries," writes John Baffes, a
senior agricultural economist at the World Bank, "depress global prices
and cut into the livelihoods of millions."
Care to guess where most cotton is grown? Texas grows nearly 30% of all
US production. Nearly half of US production is in the Southeastern US.
86% is grown in red states.
And has that increased in the last seven years, or remained stable? If
you're going to pin that on the current admin, you have to show that it's
a change to previous policy, do you not? (I suspect the policy hasn't
changed much since LBJ, but I would be very surprised to hear that such
subsidies were disproportionately increased during this administration.)
The majority of US ag subsidies go to corn growing states. The biggest
obstacles to fixing that issue are Charles Grassley and Tom Harkin.
Subsidies are bad policy, but they're a bipartisan bad policy.
JG
The next time that you hear Republicans complain about farm subsidies,
remind them of the hypocrisy of the Bush administration: Their free
market ideology seems to only be imposed on the little guy. Large
corporations and the wealthy get federal help to screw everyone else in
the world!
Oh yes, one more thing. That reduction in the trade deficit? A
reduction of all of $1.4B. Could that have something to do with cotton
subsidies of $3.3B?
The thing that impresses me is what I heard not too long ago. Someone
said that there really are not two parties, but just one with two
different names. Proof? Look how many policies one party reverses that
were passed by the opposing party. Usually none.
And in the case of the present administration, the Repubs had it all for 6
years (Congress and the White House not to mention the Supreme
Court)....and not a single (that I am aware of) policy or Democratic
legislation was reversed.
Quite so.
You may remember that an event came up during the proceedings of the 9/11
Commission regarding Jamie Gorelick and a rather obvious conflict of
intrest, as she was in the position of judging the outcome of a questionable
policy that she had put into place while at Justice. Both GOP and Dem
members of the Commission discounted the matter.
The sane pundits pointed out that there is indeed one party, best referred
to as the "political class." The "political class" has two subgroups, which
bicker and fight and war with one another about minutae, but are in basic
agreement about the way things ought to be, and (as demonstrated by the
Gorelick issue) will circle the wagons if any of the little people have the
utter audacity to judge them by the same metrics that people outside of the
political class adhere to.
The "problem", if one wishes to state it as such, is that a majority of
Americans are still under the impression that one party or another will
actually change anything, or is intrinsically any different than the other.
JG
.
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