Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- From: "John Galt" <whoisjohngalt@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Mon, 1 Oct 2007 18:38:36 -0500
"Jerry Okamura" <okamuraj005@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:47018093$0$32526$4c368faf@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
"Rumpelstiltskin" <PleaseDoNotReplyByEmail@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:94g2g39gepiqt7fn645696a4bse0p923mu@xxxxxxxxxx
On Mon, 1 Oct 2007 19:10:02 +0200 (CEST), Nomen NescioI have posted this same set of questions a number of times now, and I am
<nobody@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
No problem for conservatives, they never met an
ice bergy they didn't hate or a tree they did not
want to cut down.
*****
Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
There's no point talking to the lime-encrusted old farts
in soc.retirement about global warming. They're going
to keep insisting there's no such thing. The only thing
that will stop them proclaiming their denial is when the
water rises above the level of their mouths.
still waiting for some answers....
What will be the effects of Global Warming, and when will the effect be
the worse?
Too vague of a question. The "probable scenarios", as I see them, vary
between a net increase of a couple to several inches of sea. Some regions
get better weather from it, some worse. If you live in the Maldives, you're
going to be looking to relocate to the mainland. Most other locations will
be able to adapt.
How certain are the predictions of Global Warming (100% certainty, 90%,
50%)?
100% certain that it's happening. Significnatly less as to which scenario
manifests itself.
When will it happen, and what will happen and how certain are these
predictions?
Over the next 100 years.
When will Global Warming reach its worst case scenario, and what is that
worst case scenario? How certain are the predictions that the worst case
scenario will happen? What are the other scenarios of what may happen?
If you were to rank each scenario, what is the most likely scenario?
I couldn't say. Suffice to say that every time I read the Latest Final
Report of What Will Happen, it's prediction is less catastrophic than the
previous.
How big a reduction of greenhouses gases is required to avoid Global
Warming, how much of a yearly reduction is required, how soon do we have
the reach the yearly goal, what happens if we are not able to reach the
yearly goal, and can anyone guarantee that we can avoid Global Warming,
regardless of what we do?
Almost all projections on how much GGs we'd have to cut to avoid impact are
impossible. You can't cut that much without tossing us out of the Industrial
Age, from my read. The last UN report pretty much said that the damage is
already done, now we have to live with it.
Why concentrate on one of the greenhouse gases and not the other
greenhouse gases?
Not sure if that assumption is correct.
What is the maximum rise in sea levels can we expect? I would think that
answer can be found in determining how much sea levels will rise "if" all
of the ice and snow melts.
See above. "All" is not going to melt.
Water on this earth is basically static, because none of it escapes from
earth. It is either in the form of water, snow, ice, or in the
atmosphere. And eventually, it will be returned to its natural form, which
is water. So, what is evaporated, will eventually come back to the ground
in the form of rain or snow. Where will it come back to earth? Won't the
same amount of water that now returns to earth, be the same, if global
warming should occur? One study suggested that the maximum rise in sea
levels would be 263 feet, which if that happens would put a whole lot of
land under water.
Most of the land, but I don't know of any responsible scientists who believe
anything close to that. I haven't seen anyone legit suggest more than like
16 feet, and I think the consensus is more like 16 inches max,
Let us for the sake of discussion say that the scientist are right and
that if we do not do something to reduce the levels of Carbon Dioxide,
global warming will happen. It would just seem to me, then the next
question is how can we guarantee that the event will not happen, or can
anyone make such a guarantee.
No.
What exactly, do we have to do, how fast do we have to do it, would be the
next series of questions I would think needs to be answered. Have those
scientist who are predicting such an event, know the answers to those
questions? If they have the answer, what is the answer? Is there a
consensus of what exactly has to be done? If there is no consensus, what
should we do, and why is there no consensus?
Climatologists have consensus. Meteorologists, atmospheric scentists,
astronomers, geologists......have different scientific perspectives, and
they see the matter differently.
JG
.
- Follow-Ups:
- Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- From: Jerry Okamura
- Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- From: Alvin E. Toda
- Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- References:
- Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- From: Nomen Nescio
- Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- From: Rumpelstiltskin
- Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- From: Jerry Okamura
- Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- Prev by Date: Re: The Dark Side of Hillary Clinton's Health Care Plan
- Next by Date: Re: What Would You Say if Your Were Asked to Co-Sign for a Hospital Bill?
- Previous by thread: Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- Next by thread: Re: Arctic thaw may be at "tipping point"
- Index(es):
Relevant Pages
|
