Re: Meet Michel Suleiman, Lebanon's next president
- From: BasilRathbone2010@xxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Wed, 21 May 2008 07:31:12 -0700 (PDT)
I have a different analysis then what others
are saying on SCL. I would say March 14th is trying to buy time until
the wind changes. The veto part for the opposition is not
necessarily permanent. It is what exists until there is a way for the
alliances to shift, and it is not right now, I am afraid and Jumblatt
knows that. By giving the opposition the veto they asked for, they
have to elect a president, and with the parliamentary elections March
14th is hoping for enough gains to gradually weaken the opposition
politically in front of the Lebanese people. That is the best March
14th can hope for since time hasn't been a friend of Lebanon. As far
as I can see it, the Lebanese March 14th cedar group existed among the
Aounists and the LF memembers, Jumblatt, and R. Hariri before March
14th. Those who opposed Syrian intervention in Lebanon and to some
extent Iranian intervention was not as large as it is now, and you
couldn't have hoped for even the government you have now. I know
that is me trying to ask others to see that progress has been made in
the past 3 years, though Lebanon is still quite far from where it
needs to be and the road is paved with risks. I will definitely say
that. This is a game of chess with peoples' lives and Hezbollah with
its arms is limited.
.
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- From: BasilRathbone2010
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