@@ Intelligence Brief: Future for Afghanistan is chronic instability @@

Power and Interest News Report (PINR)
February 2, 2006

42nd Munich Conference on Security Policy

.... PINR correctly predicted in August 2004 that the "most likely future for
Afghanistan is chronic instability that Western powers, expending limited resources,
will attempt to contain, but will not be able to resolve".

This conclusion worries many European governments. For instance, any deeper military
involvement in Afghanistan will result in more NATO casualties.

Additionally, financing peacekeeping missions will be a source of dissent in light of
the European public's reluctance to accept any kind of military mission that is led
by the United States.

Moreover, today's NATO is often perceived by Europeans as a tool to ensure U.S.
leadership in the Western geostrategic realm.

Analysts:
Ken Meyer
Michael Weinstein
Adam Wolfe

Organizations that have utilized PINR's analyses include, but are not limited to:
U.S. Army, U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), American Enterprise Institute
(AEI), Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs, European Strategic Intelligence and
Security Center, Australian Department of Defense, Eurasia Foundation, and Monterey
Institute's Center for Nonproliferation Studies.
http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=432&language_id=1


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