¿Is Chavez ready to cut off oil at the slightest threat to Cuba?
- From: periodistalibre@xxxxxxx
- Date: 9 Aug 2006 08:14:45 -0700
Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit
sent by Simon McGuinness
Is everyone automatically discounting the possibility that Fidel
Castro's recent incapacity is actually a pre-planned sting operation
designed to expose the secret section of the US Plan for the
Subjugation
of Cuba? I can't think of a better time to spring such a trap (see my
quick "State of the Union" summary below). And it can't fail to
succeed. If the US implement their plans then they will have revealed
them to the Cubans who can quickly take Fidel off ice get him to dance
a
jig on live TV during his birthday celebrations and say it was all a
ruse. If they don't implement their plans (and this is how it is
playing out at time of writing - 7 days is a long time to
"pro-Castro-nate", even for GW Bush) then they will have revealed their
secret plans to be entirely vacuous. This will alienate the Miami
gusanos from the Bush administration and scuttle any remaining chance
of
a Bush 44 president.
Not a bad result for a few weeks in bed.
Simon McGuinness,
Dublin.
***
THE STATE OF THE UNION, August 2006
*************************************************
To paraphrase a famous Cuban anti-imperialist revolutionary, Eamon
Devalera: "The United States' difficulty is Cuba's opportunity". Lets
look at the opportunities:
1) US MILITARY RESOURCES: Iraq in melt-down with a clear need to
massively increase troop levels which will can only be achieved by
imposition of a military draft. This will result in massive popular
backlash at home. US armour already severely degraded by three years
in
the field and replacement levels only barley meeting attrition rates
when troops restrict operations to the minimum ... there is
insufficient
infantry hardware to support even modest increases in troop levels.
The
prospects for a near-term ramping up of US output of military hardware
is limited by a global squeeze on commodities and consequent high
prices, high transport costs and insufficient domestic energy capacity.
Current hardware has proven surprisingly vulnerable to insurgency
tactics and there is a desperate need to re-engineer and improve
protection systems in all modes of personnel and logistic transport.
There are no other global military suppliers with anything better.
2) US PROXY MILITARY RESOURCES: Israel losing a war it launched to
destroy Iranian/Syrian power, US unable to assist. NATO bogged down in
Afghanistan, an area outside its planned military reach, in a war it
cannot win against a resourceful insurgency that has already proved
itself capable of defeating even a military superpower operating within
a few miles of its land borders. UK forces, for example, are already
running out of resupply helicopters due to losses and insurgent siege
tactics. Continuous erosion of the countries involved the the
"Coalition of the Willing" in Iraq, remaining non-US forces of no
tactical and little propaganda advantage. Kurdish irregulars who hold
the north of Iraq nominally under US command (including the valuable
oil
fields) have their own agenda and, in their desire to secure their
Kurdish homeland, may provoke Turkish and/or Iranian military
intervention into Iraq.
3) US ENERGY RESOURCES: US oil supplies under severe threat due to
closing of an Alaskan pipeline, failure of Saudi production increases
promised, Chavez ready to cut off oil at the slightest threat to Cuba,
ongoing energy market instability within the USA caused by structural
and regulatory conflicts, Russia ready to use oil to undermine US
hegemony, increasing Chinese consumption mopping up all available
freely
traded oil and eroding traditional US supply agreements. Ongoing USD
devaluation increasing oil prices for the USA at a greater rate than
any
other traded currency.
4) US ECONOMIC RESOURCES: US economic indices indicating looming
recession, potential property price crash, potential for a collapse in
the value of the US dollar, personal and federal debt at an all time
high, savings at a post dust-bowl low, China (an ally of Cuba) with the
economic clout to destroy the US economy at the stroke of a pen (which
would instantly solve its internal inflation problem and strengthen
government control of the economy).
5) US FOOD RESOURCES: US agriculture entirely reliant on US government
subsidies which will be cut off in the event of an economic collapse,
food production system entirely dependant on low cost oil and low cost
immigrant labour both of which are under threat and that threat will
increase with any drop in the value of the USD. Imported food is
vulnerable to sharp price rises due to combined effects of US dollar
instability and oil price rises.
6) US DIPLOMATIC RESOURCES: US diplomatic standing already at virtual
"pariah" levels in all international fora from the UN to the WTO, EU to
Latin America, central Asia, The Muslim world, Middle East, etc.
Exposure of systematic torture, unpunished war crimes, contempt for
international law and dismissal of adherence to long standing
international conventions have yielded a position of ridicule on all
issues of human rights in all international fora. This reality is
reflected only by a blanket, and deeply dysfunctional, US denial of any
change in its international status. Only Israel believes the USA any
more and that's only because either they have written the script or
their spies know the truth behind the US statements. The US president
is not welcome in any foreign country on the planet.
7) US POLITICAL RESOURCES: internal US political system in turmoil
with rigged elections, religious fundamentalist legislature and
judiciary unable and unwilling to face reality, incompetent and deluded
executive with potential addiction issues, government popularity at
rock
bottom and falling, Presidential integrity beyond doubt, overuse of the
fear tactic reducing its effectiveness as a means of public control,
administration characterised by basic incompetence at all levels and
informed only by irrational and increasingly irrelevant ideologies.
Of course none of these vulnerabilities has ever been mentioned in any
of George W Bush's State of the Union speeches, perhaps nobody dared to
tell him? Fidel Castro, on the other hand, is uniquely positioned to
reveal the bad news ... without even getting out of bed.
- SMcG.
*
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