Re: Art, where's the buzz on nanotech saving America today?
- From: "rrc" <rrcolby@xxxxxx>
- Date: 27 Mar 2006 20:34:32 -0800
BMJ wrote:
Afterwards, that is if there's a world in the 23rd century, we'll have
innovate in the solar realm that is if they're not suffering from
another "S&E shortage" during that time.
One of the present drawbacks with photovoltaics is the relatively low
conversion efficiency of modules. This means that a PV installation
will require significant areas of land. In addition, renewable systems
require a large initial capital expenditure when compared with existing
systems. (I investigated the economic optimization of hybrid renewable
systems for my Ph. D.)
That's why I'd placed the 23rd century as a caveat. Present day
photovoltaics are pretty dead end. It would have to be a collection of
lunar or orbital systems which then "microwaves" the solar radiation
back to the surface for power.
So the cycle I see is Alberta/Siberian/Kazakh oil from here till 2030.
Modern Fischer-Tropsch coal->to->petroleum synfuels from 2025 till
2200. And then afterwards, a network of extraterrestrial solar stations
pooling energy for the surface along with limited fusion facilities.
.
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