Re: PRC/USA & Taiwan

On Sat, 2 Feb 2008 12:52:58 -0800 (PST), eatfastnoodle
<d12s34f56@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

Remember, Taiwan Relations Act is a domestic
law, it has no legal binding on UN or China,


A US Congressional Resolution is not binding on the US President
either. Congress passes feel good resolutions all the time the last
one of note being recognizing Armenian Genocide. It didn't come to
vote when it turned out to expose more problems than its worth. But
lets say it did pass. Does that bind the President to punish Turkey
over something that happened a century ago and where America had no
role or iinterests in?

A Congressional Resolution does not have the force of a US Law.
Congress does not have independent powers to declare war on another
country. Only the President does, with Congressional approval of
course although US Presidents have worked around this often.

But all this is moot at this juncture. The pressure to go to war with
China over Taiwan had always been driven by right wing extremists in
Congress. A US President has to pander to them as they are a powerful
lobby that no President can dismiss or ignore. The President also
knows he can diss China with impunity as there is nothing China can do
except protest. Congressmen like to use this free pass too as they
can take the most extreme positions knowing that they will never have
to deliver on their threats. But there isn't a single Congressman now
who wants to beat the war drums against China, certainly not over
Taiwanese Independence. The facts on the ground are the current
Taiwan pro independence forces had lost badly in the Legislative
Assembly elections. The current pro-independence President cannot
stand for re-lection in March and his party presidential nominee is
very unlikely to win. It will be a very brave Congressman indeed who
will want to run ahead of events by pressing for sanctions or war over
Taiwan Independence that the Taiwan themselves seem very likely to
reject in a month or so.

The only point of contention is will the ballot to seek approval to
take preliminary steps for independence, not independence itself, be
offered in the March Presidential elections. Unlikely. In any case:-
First, there won't be any critical step made this year originating
from Taiwan that will lead to China acting on Taiwan. Read NO WAR or
cross straits confrontations. Secondly since Taiwan's current
president will lose his parlimentary immunity once he leaves office
he, his family and his key supporters will be facing serious charges
of corruption while he was in office. Convictable or not these
charges and the ensuing trials will occupy the headlines and national
psyche well into next year and beyond. The Taiwan Independence issue
will be way back in the back burner.

To all those who still spoil for a war with China over Taiwan do you
really want to be involved in this mess? Remember neither Taiwan nor
China invited you in. Your only valid rationale is you do not want a
China that can challenge the US militarily as she surely will be able
to do with time. That is another issue altogether.
.

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