Re: Different meanings of "predict" and thanks for previous help!

John Swindle wrote on 24 okt 2005 in sci.lang.translation:

> Yes, I see what you mean.
>
> For Alberto, a hypothesis was not strictly a prediction.
> For me, as for you, a hypothesis is indeed a prediction.
>
> There's another difference between Alberto's example 1
> and example 2, though. In example 1, we make the
> prediction. In example 2, the evidence predicts the
> outcome. It's a difference in who or what is making the
> prediction.
>

I don't think so. Evidence/data does not predict.
The human rules set to use the data concludes in a prediction.

Perhaps the word "evidence" assumes/suggests the data has the ability tp
predict, but that is a fallacy.

Examples:

Because God told me in a dream [subjective information],
I will win the jackpot tomorrow. [prediction]

When [not if!] the sun goes up there will be another day
[prediction on experience and immediate evidence (it is dark), coupled
with definition (of day), gives reasonable assumption]

Whereas 20000 children went to school last year [scientific data
collected in survey], and the amount does not change much year to year
[schientific a priory knowledge], the rule of my analysis predicts that
next year 19000 to 24000 children will attend school [prediction]

Because we find that being fat predisposes of getting diabetes later in
life, effectively combatting fatness decreases your chance of getting
diabetes. [prediction based on data, but not necessary the right one,
because fatness and diabetes could be linked by a common cause, not
influencing each other. Further prospective research is needed, but a
wrong rule could lead to such possible misinterpretation]


--
Evertjan.
The Netherlands.
(Replace all crosses with dots in my emailaddress)

.

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