the Peak Oil debate

This video is up for free viewing from time to time as promotion for
producers to sell the DVD. It's currently free.
The End of Suburbia - 52 minute documentary on oil
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q3uvzcY2Xug

Crude - The Incredible Journey of Oil
http://www.abc.net.au/science/crude/

Prof Rick Smalley - Our Energy Challenge
Columbia University Nanoscale Science and Engineering Center presents "Our
Energy Challenge"
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-4626573768558163231

Future Global Energy Prosperity: The Terawatt Challenge - Richard Smalley
http://cohesion.rice.edu/NaturalSciences/Smalley/emplibrary/120204%20MRS%20Boston.pdf


Four Corners Broadband - Peak Oil?
http://www.abc.net.au/4corners/special_eds/20060710/default_full_mac.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/4corners/special_eds/20060710/

http://www.theoildrum.com/uploads/44/oil_discovery_trend.gif
http://www.grinningplanet.com/2005/06-14/1-oil-discoveries.jpg
http://www.grinningplanet.com/2005/06-14/4-net-oil-discovery-minus-production.jpg

Are We Running Out of Oil?
http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2000/of00-320/of00-320.pdf


Arithmetic, Population & Energy
Dr Albert Bartlett on exponential growth
http://www.guba.com/watch/3000053112
Although 1.6% does not seem like much to some of the kings and economists of
the world, applied to human population it can yield huge numbers. While it
took 2 million years for us to reach a population of 1 billion, we will add
another billion to the earth's population in just the next 11 years (Miller
9). If we calculate 1.6% growth out to 600 years we find that there would be
one person for each square meter of the dry land surface of earth, and in
1800 years the mass of humans would exceed the mass of the earth (Forgotten
Fundamentals of the Energy Crisis). Clearly human population growth will
stop. But it's not just our population that is growing, it's also our use of
natural resources.

Most types of resource use are growing faster than population. Although many
associate growth in resource use with population growth, growth in resource
use can also be independent of population growth. Resource use can grow even
without population growth, although the reverse is hard to imagine. An
example of what exponential growth means in resources can be seen with US
coal reserves. Coal is the US's most abundant fossil fuel. In 1991 the US
Department of Energy reported that at current rate of use US coal reserves
could last almost 500 years. But the caveat here is current rate of use.
Between 1971 and 1991 the use of coal grew 2.86%. With this rate of growth
US coal could last about 94 years if we could use it all, but more likely 72
years of coal would be recoverable (Forgotten Fundamentals of the Energy
Crisis).

Lack of understanding of how long coal could last comes from people's lack
of knowledge of exponential growth. In 1978, Time Magazine reported that
there is "enough coal to meet the country's energy needs for centuries, no
matter how much energy consumption may grow" (Forgotten Fundamentals of the
Energy Crisis). This is clearly untrue. If we look just at the amount of
electrical energy the country uses and its historical growth over the last
40 years, we see that coal could meet that need for just 36 years. Remember,
coal is our most abundant fossil fuel. This utter lack of understanding of
the results of exponential growth isn't limited to Time -- it's pervasive in
our government, media, and general public.

One reason for this is that exponential growth moves so fast. It seems we
should not worry with 500 years of coal left, but we need to know how fast
use will grow. Exponential growth is deceptive. The ramifications of
exponential growth can be better understood if you understand doubling time.


OBELE Oil Corporation
This article was written in 1998 when oil was $14.50 per bbl.
Oil Shock!
http://www.obeleoil.com/oilshock2.htm#Causes%20of%20Oil%20Shocks:%20Past%20&%20Future
Adobe version
http://www.obeleoil.com/OilShock.pdf

Energy Watch Group Oil Report Oct 2007
http://www.energywatchgroup.org/fileadmin/global/pdf/EWG_Oilreport_10-2007.pdf

Society of Petroleum Engineers 2004 debate
SPE's 80th Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition (ATCE)
focus on the Q&A
Matt Simmons
http://interface.audiovideoweb.com/lnk/nj45win9664/SPE/simmonhi.wmv/play.asx

Michael Lynch
http://interface.audiovideoweb.com/lnk/nj45win9664/SPE/lynchhi.wmv/play.asx

Ken Deffeyes
http://interface.audiovideoweb.com/lnk/nj45win9664/SPE/deffey.wmv/play.asx

Marlan Downey
http://interface.audiovideoweb.com/lnk/nj45win9664/SPE/downeyhi.wmv/play.asx

Q&A Session
(Michael Lynch predicted oil to fall to $25 range in '05 while Simmons
predicted above $50)
http://interface.audiovideoweb.com/lnk/nj45win9664/SPE/qahi.wmv/play.asx



FinancialSense.com audios:
Leeb Capital Mgmt
In 2004 Leeb predicted oil to $100 while still at $34
http://www.netcastdaily.com/1experts/2004/exp050804.ram
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2004/Leeb.html

Leeb Capital Mgmt 2006
http://www.netcastdaily.com/broadcast/fsn2006-0311-2.ram
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Leeb.html


Peter Tertzakian - "A Thousand Barrels a Second"
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2006/Tertzakian.html

Matt Simmons
http://www.financialsense.com/Experts/2007/Simmons.html


Chris Skrebowski
http://globalpublicmedia.com/people/chris_skrebowski


Toyota's alternative fuel manger on ethanol
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-2201199802681775303
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-2558276641904882805


PEAK OIL: ALTERNATIVES, RENEWABLES, AND IMPACTS
Clifford J. Wirth, Ph.D.
http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html
Adobe version
http://www.peakoilassociates.com/PeakOilAnalysisOctober6-2007.pdf
Word version
http://www.peakoilassociates.com/PeakOilAnalysisOctober6-2007.doc

US Senate Committee Hearing on Peak Oil
http://www.globalpublicmedia.org/us_senate_committee_hearing_on_peak_oil

First Hearing by Congress on Understanding Peak Oil (length 2 hours 13 min):
stream
http://media.globalpublicmedia.com/RAM/2005/12/HouseEnergyCommitee.20051207.ram
download
http://media.globalpublicmedia.com/RM/2005/12/HouseEnergyCommitee.20051207.mp3






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