Re: Big Earthquake West US this Year?


ivars.fabriciuss@xxxxxxxxx wrote:
Petra wrote:
ivars.fabriciuss@xxxxxxxxx wrote:
I have been connecting this type of info:

because of methane coming out from ocean floor turning into CO2 in deep
water crabs are dying on pacific coast of US,on the ocean floor. Heated
co2 reaches atmosphere,
people die from record temperatures.Cold water in ocean is floated up
by methane turning into co2. Can you see the mechanism? Western us is
not a safe place this year.

Heat in form of hot methane gas is coming out from mantle via
expandingcrust at visibly increasing rate, which means there will be
earthquakes soon!

Mexico already had one.

I hope I am totally wrong.

Hello,

You said " Mexico already had one."

Could you please tell me which one are you referencing?



How long have you noticed this pattern? Is it possible to say more
about your research?

Petra
Mehtane
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/01/040113080810.htm
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2006-07/uoc--gef071906.php

Co2- that is opbvious it grows in atmosphere, but it is formed under
water where crabs die:
http://www.nwcn.com/statenews/oregon/stories/NW_081106ORNdeadzoneLJ.556bc29.html

Top 700 m layer Ocean water cooling

http://climatesci.atmos.colostate.edu/2006/08/
The abstract reads,

"We observe a net loss of 3.2 (± 1.1) X 10**22 J of heat from the
upper ocean between 2003 and 2005. Using a broad array of in situ ocean
measurements, we present annual estimates of global upper-ocean heat
content anomaly from 1993 through 2005. Including the recent downturn,
the average warming rate for the entire 13-year period is 0.33 ± 0.23
W/m2 (per unit area of the Earth's surface). A new estimate of
sampling error in the heat content record suggests that both the recent
and previous cooling events are significant and unlikely to be
artifacts of inadequate ocean sampling."

Selected excerpts from the article read,

"From 1993 to 2003, the heat content of the upper ocean increased by
8.1 (± 1.4) X 10**22 J. This increase was followed by a decrease of
3.2 (± 1.1) X 10**22 J between 2003 and 2005. The decrease represents
a substantial loss of heat over a 2-year period, amounting to about 21%
of the long-term upper-ocean heat gain between 1955 and 2003 reported
by Levitus et al., [2005]."

"From 1993 to 2005, the average rate of upper-ocean warming as
determined by a linear least squares fit is 0.33 ± 0.23 W/m2 per unit
area of the Earth's surface."

"The recent decrease in heat content amounts to an average cooling
rate of -1.0 ± 0.3 W/m2 from 2003 to 2005, and results in a lower
estimate of average warming from 1993 to 2005 than that recently
reported for the 1993 to 2003 period [Willis et al., 2004]."

"The cooling signal is distributed over the water column with most
depths experiencing some cooling. A small amount of cooling is observed
at the surface, although much less than the cooling at depth.....The
maximum cooling occurs at about 400 m and substantial cooling is still
observed at 750 m.....The cooling signal is still strong at 750 m and
appears to extend deeper"

"....the updated time series of ocean heat content presented here
(Figure 1) and the newly estimated confidence limits (Figure 3) support
the significance of previously reported large interannual variability
in globally integrated upper-ocean heat content [Levitus et al., 2005].
However, the physical causes for this type of variability are not yet
well understood. Furthermore, this variability is not adequately
simulated in the current generation of coupled climate models used to
study the impact of anthropogenic influences on climate [Gregory et
al., 2004; Barnett et al. 2005; Church et al. 2005; and Hansen et al.,
2005]. Although these models do simulate the long-term rates of ocean
warming, this lack of interannual variability represents shortcoming
that may complicate detection and attribution of human-induced climate
influences."

This is a very important observational study of changes in climate
system heat content. While the models predict a general montonic
increase in ocean heat content (e.g. see (Figure 1) ), the new
observations in Lyman et al 2006 show an important decrease. The
explanation of this temporal change in the radiative imbalance of the
Earth's climate system is a challenge to the climate science
community. It does indicate that we know less about natural- and
human-climate forcings and feedbacks than concluded in the IPCC
Reports.

Mexico Earthquake

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N13384985.htm

Cracks in Crust releasing warm gases in atmosphere

However, Sornette thinks that many systems have a special kind of
scale-invariance, called discrete scale-invariance, that might actually
make it possible to spot a breakdown coming. Ordinary scale-invariance
leads to a distinctive distribution of crack lengths: plot the length
of a crack against the number of cracks of that length and you'll get a
smooth curve with small cracks most common and big cracks least common.
But from his analysis of real and model systems approaching
catastrophic failure, Sornette believes a system under stress will
actually show discrete scale-invariance. So, some crack lengths will
occur more frequently than for an ordinary scale-invariance
distribution. The details will be different for each system, but the
signal data will always be peppered with subtle signatures-such as the
log-periodic signals-that reveal when the whole system will go
critical.

Sornette has begun looking at seismic data from the southern California
fault system, including the famous San Andreas fault. From an initial
study of the data, he thinks he can pick out a faint chorus signal
among all the noise. What's more, the timing between seismic choruses
has been diminishing fast recently, and the southern part of the
California fault system may be just months away from the "critical
state". He thinks that California is gearing up for another big quake,
measuring around 7.5 on the Richter scale.

But that doesn't mean Californians should be panicking around
Christmas. The critical state is where the system is poised to fail-it
doesn't mean that an earthquake will happen immediately.

www.citebase.org/fulltext?format=application%2Fpdf&identifier=oai%3AarXiv.org%3Aphysics%2F0210130


I do my research by internet, understanding and Intuition.

Hello,

I too have seen correlations of increased sea surface temperatures
relating to earthquake behavior, so this is not foreign to me. I will
invite you to visit my web page and if you would like to have a
discussion about these things I will be glad to do so. My e-mail
address is on the site.

Petra
http://www.petrachallusquakepredictions.com/GHE.html

.

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