Re: Jim Berkland Earthquake Predictions
- From: "Petra" <petrasrcf@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: 20 Jan 2006 17:46:00 -0800
Alan,
You don't know very much about Jim Berklands prediction method, so I
don't think you are qualified to judge Brian's method against anyone
else. Besides, he's only been doing his work for about three months,
hardly comparable to a geologist who has been at it for more than
thirty years.
With the exception of site specific predictions, Jim uses something
close to "cast the net" and see "what comes in" sort of method. He
uses radius' of 140 miles around Seattle, SF and LA for 3.5 or greater
earthquakes. I know him personally and I also have followed his work
very closely. Since Loma Prieta in 1989 he is actually 1/3rd short of
where he was prior to. That's because after Loma Prieta the Bay Area
went totally dead for years and is now on the verge of coming to life
again.
I like Jim very much and I support the work he does if for no other
reason it keeps earthquake prediction in the spotlight so no one
forgets it is still possible. He is a wonderful person, a great
friend, a good family man and so much more.
I don't know Brian that well; but I believe he is honest, hard working,
very interested in science and probably a real fun guy.
Petra
.
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