Re: Stan Deyo 'claims' two hits. (followup)

I contacted Stan about his two hits. Of course there are reasons
they can be claimed.

For the issue of Pakistan not being within a circle,

"When a quake does occur and has been in or fairly close to the
outer radius of a circle I have drawn over a given fault zone
area then it is counted as a 'hit'."

For the issue of 100 predictions covering the San Simeon area,

"It falls into the category of a lot of seismic stress with few
actual quakes occurring."

"If you insist upon seeing an earthquake for every circle within
the 5 day period you will be disappointed."

Brian


Skywise <into@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in news:11kp9v3oobtss80
@corp.supernews.com:

> Stand Deyo is claiming to have hit the 7.6 Pakistan quake and
> the 4.2 San Simeon aftershock.
>
> http://www.millennium-ark.net/index1.html (click "special reports"
> then click "Stan's Earthquake Warnings")
>
> For those that do not know, Stan publishes daily maps with circles
> all over them indicating possible locations of seismic, volcanic, or
> storm activity in the next five days.
>
> He did not hit the Pakistan quake. There are no circles that cover
> the epicenter, especially in the last five days of maps. I have the
> last 107 days worht of maps archived and in all that time I found
> only 5 circles that came close, closer than the one he's claiming
> is a hit, BTW. But even so, none of them actually cover the epicenter.
>
> He did hit the San Simeon aftershock, but.... Looking at the last
> 107 days worth of maps, there were only 7 days that DID NOT have the
> epicenter for this quake circled. Out of 107 days he covers that spot
> 100 times and get's it right only once. That is orders of magnitude
> worse than random chance.
>
> So, in one case he's claiming a hit when it clearly was not and in
> the other he's stacking the deck.
>
> Brian

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