Re: Houston, You May Have A Problem

Robatoy wrote:
....
My sister in Olathe would probably be pissed that all her new
grassseed would wash away.

Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Dodge City Kansas 328 am CDT sun Jul 27 2008

Discussion...

Days 1-2...

The main forecast challenge this cycle will be probability of
precipitation and timing of probability of precipitation.

... Then on Monday...the energy and moisture from ts Dolly slide up
and over the upper level ridge. This could bring some welcome moisture
to much of the County Warning Area. Have upped probability of
precipitation to upper 30s on Monday and higher into the 40 pop range
Monday night. The GFS and European model (ecmwf) are handling Dolly
differently...with the GFS keeping the bulk of the precipitation south
of US in Oklahoma. The European model (ecmwf)...the NAM and the Canadian
are all bringing good quantitative precipitation forecast into our
County Warning Area...a farther north solution than the GFS. Our
probability of precipitation may have to be raised even more for Monday
and Monday night if the model trends continue. The GFS has more
quantitative precipitation forecast than last night's run...so it is
trending toward the European model (ecmwf).

There ya' go! 30-40%!!! _NOW_ we're talking! :)

Of course, this year has been one where even the 70-80% numbers haven't panned out for us more often than not... :(

In the "rich get richer" scenario, central and east got rain yet again last night; local summer baseball team is in El Dorado and they got rained out for second night in a row...

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