Re: The MYTH about the "REALLY SCARY" BIRD FLU

On 19/10/05 9:06, in article dj4r90$qet$1$8302bc10@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Keith
W" <keithnospam@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

>
> "Doc Sapien" <metasapien.sapien@xxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
> news:1129704526.324357.293240@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>> Apparently a bird flu pandemic has been "confirmed" by some experts.
>> Maybe. Meanwhile the lazy and greedy media continue to bombard the
>> public with half facts and propagandas. Here's some stuff to sort out
>> the facts from the panicking noises, something to serve as after dinner
>> conversation starters...
>>
>
>> Myth # First bird to human transmission *H5N1* occurred in Hong Kong
>> 1997, killed 65 people since...
>> FACT # First bird to human transmission *H1N1* occurred in U.S.A. 1918,
>> killed 675,000 Americans and 50,000,000 people worldwide in one year.
>
> Only if you think pigs can fly
>
> H1N1 was discovered in pigs in the USA in the 1930's and its never been
> clear
> which species the virus originated in.
>
> http://www.vetmed.wisc.edu/pbs/zoonoses/influenza/swineflu.html
>
> Do us all a favour and stop spreading false information

What the original poster did not mention is the death rates so far
of people who have gotten the H5N1 flu. Those rates are over 50%.
The problem is that we don't know how many people got this flu
"light" and did not report being ill.

We are in a precautionary period. So much so that my expectation
is that mobilization to block the spread of the flu, if it mutates,
will be successful.

Next the infection of wild birds in western Europe may be delayed until
next year when they return from Africa, to where the current bird
flu is likely to go, brought in from Eastern Europe.

The big question is how virulent the human H5N1 will be once is
fuses with H1N1. And if the currently being developed vaccines
work against the fused form, as well as the stockpiled anti-virals
like Tamiflu. So we are in a wait and see period with the authorities
preparing as best they can.

.

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