Jim Rogers quits dollar after declaring US recession
- From: Dave Hazelwood <the_big_kahuna@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 25 Oct 2007 01:38:42 GMT
Jim Rogers quits dollar after declaring US recession
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/10/24/bcnrog124.xml
By Mark Kleinman in Hong Kong
Last Updated: 1:29am BST 25/10/2007
Jim Rogers, the veteran investor who predicted the 1999 commodities
rally, declared that the US economy was "in recession" as he said he
would take flight from the dollar and switch his investments into
currencies including the Chinese yuan.
Japan and China lead flight from the dollarFears of dollar collapse as
Saudis take fright
Mr Rogers, who ranks among the world's best-known investment figures,
said he was putting his faith in China's politically-sensitive
currency alongside the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.
I live in Asia. It is really not that strange that I am selling out of
the US dollar," he told The Daily Telegraph. "All other things being
equal during the next six months, that's the way I will go. But if the
Swiss franc goes through the roof, I probably won't put money into the
Swiss franc."
Mr Rogers' comments are followed slavishly by many members of the
international investment communities, and his view that the US economy
is in a worse state than that suggested by most economic commentators
is likely to add to pessimism in some quarters about its health.
"The US economy is undoubtedly in recession," he said. "Many parts of
industry are actually in a state worse than recession. If it were not
for [Federal Reserve Governor Ben] Bernanke putting huge amounts of
money into the market, the stock market would probably be down much
more than it is."
Mr Rogers, a long-time enthusiast for investing in stocks hanging on
the coat-tails of China's economic boom, said he had not altered his
views about the booming Shanghai stock market.
Earlier this year, with the benchmark Shanghai index trading at around
4000, Mr Rogers, a former investment partner of George Soros, added
his voice to the chorus of warnings about an incipient bubble forming
in the mainland Chinese capital markets.
With the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 5843 points, Mr Rogers
said he was relaxed about the market's continued growth.
"I still feel the same way. It's not a bubble yet - if it goes past
9000 in January I'll have to sell. Bubbles always end badly," he said.
"I do not want to sell Chinese stocks. I want to own them forever and
I want my [four year-old] daughter to own them."
Mr Rogers' comments came as Warren Buffett, the 'Sage of Omaha', urged
investors to be cautious about the Shanghai market's surge, which has
seen it rise by more than 125pc this year.
Speaking to Bloomberg during a visit to China, Mr Buffett said
Berkshire Hathaway, the investment company he fronts, shied away from
buying into soaring stocks.
Mr Buffett has been a major beneficiary of Shanghai's growth, reaping
a profit of hundreds of millions of dollars from his stake in
PetroChina, one of the world's largest companies by market value.
.
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