Re: AQB International Ratings (31 August 2005)
- From: Myk Cameron <aqb@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 01 Sep 2005 20:53:19 +1200
On Thu, 1 Sep 2005 18:29:12 +1000, "Uncle Bully"
<wakeupcall@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>"Myk Cameron" <aqb@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
>news:383dh1l14gvfc7qou8b7itudmltjh4rl77@xxxxxxxxxx
>> On Wed, 31 Aug 2005 21:23:32 +0200, "Patrick Grelier" <no@spam> wrote:
>>
>>>yeah right...so basically France beat Ireland and England in their last
>>>two
>>>games (6 nations '04 and '05), (away wins this year), but are lagging
>>>behind.
>>
>> France also lost to Wales at home, and have not won any of their last
>> three matches. Note that since a win against equi-rated opposition on
>> neutral ground is worth 20 ratings points, France are only 0.2 games
>> behind England, and 0.6 games behind Ireland.
>>
>>>http://www.irb.com/WR/ sure looks more accurate this time.
>>>
>>>Anyways, on another point, I wonder how you take into account the Lions
>>>results... Maybe we should start the Latin Cougars or something ;-)
>>
>> The Lions results are included, but since they are rated quite low and
>> only play every four years, their result have little impact.
>
>I think that the Lions should have a special system to rank them.
>Since using their results insn't fair as they only play every 4-odd years,
>their weighting should somehow be averaged against the average of the Home
>Unions current standings. In reality, the Lions would rank somewhere in the
>top 6 or 7, as you'd expect that the combined Home Unions should be able to
>beat anyone of the singular home Unions on any given day (in theory).
>
In fact, the Lions current rating of 1370.36 puts them behind Ireland
(1435.42), England (1427.33) and Wales (1399.29), and above Scotland
(1215.33), and is almost exactly an average [*] of the four ratings
(which, for the calculator impaired, is 1369.34). Spooky.
Myk
[*] noting here that a weighted average would be better, and would
have changed for each test, and I can't be arsed working them out
right now.
.
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