Re: Hey Dave Clary

Do not under estimate the force of one these monsters. Katrina was still
blowing sustained 60 mph winds late Monday night in northern
Mississippi. Tornado watches and warnings were up all over the
southeast Monday afternoon and evening. To put 60 mph sustained winds in
perspective, 911 emergency services stop responding at 45 mph as the
roads are too dangerous.

Rita may be bigger and stronger than Katrina. Tornado watches and
warnings into Oklahoma would not surprise me.

"Agent 380" <puevf@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:0T2hvq3gIg78N34@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Tex <marktexkoenig@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> : Agent 380 wrote:
> : > Maybe 60mph gusts. No way the sustained winds are that
> : > high. All the dry area Rita will suck between the coast
> : > in here will weaken her dramatically. (I'm merely repeating
> : > what I'm told by a meteorologist friend who works at the
> : > FSU hurricane center.)
> :
> : Current track show Rita to still be a Category 1/Tropical Depression
> by
> : the time she hits our area Sat. late/Sun. early...that's far higher
> : than 60mph. Perhaps the forecasts are over estimates to put the
> fear
> : in ya.
>
> I would think so. They don't want to be undersell the
> urgency, to be sure. But here's what my friend at FSU
> has to say on the subject of a storm staying Cat 1 all
> the way to here:
>
> Given DFW's distance from the Gulf, the answer is
> almost always going to be NO.
>
> Katrina didn't even get out of Mississippi as a Cat 1.
> And the Texas geography works against storms overland -
> Rita would quickly lose punch because she'll be ingesting
> hot, *dry* air coming in off the Mexican interior.
>
> A tropical cyclone is very near to being a Carnot heat
> cycle, extracting out the latent heat of vaporization
> when you condense water out of warm, moist air. Put a
> significant damper on that inflow of moist air, and
> you'll kill a 'cane in a big hurry.
>
> Like rolling up over Texas, for instance.
>
> Tho I'll admit that landcane Dean (1995) looked better
> over Lubbock than he ever did over the Gulf.
>
> The caveat is that a very strong Cat 5 making landfall
> and moving like a bat out of hell might could make DFW
> as a Cat 1.
>
> -380-


.

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