Re: to snake or not to snake
- From: Matt <mattN0SPAM770@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2005 15:06:46 GMT
On Tue, 30 Aug 2005 01:23:15 -0400, "Schaeffer" <elvisx@xxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
>> cahgoonis wrote:
>> I hate the snake method of drafting. It just doesn't seem fair for the 1st
>> pick to be penalized by not picking again until 23 picks later (12 team
>> league) in the second round. As far as the 12th pick goes, picking 2 in a
>> row at the end of the 1st & beginning of the second is great, but they
>don't
>> pick again for an eternity. Does anyone have a different, more fair way of
>> drafting without drawing a new draft order after every round?
>> Thanks.
>
> History seems to bear this out regarding early picks (and late) in drafts
>where all of the participants actually know what they're doing. In drafts
>where there are at least a couple of "inexperienced" owners, the whole
>theory/system is null ...the inexperienced prove to be too much of a "wild
>card" and skew the results.
>
> In "expert" drafts, the numbers show (not accumulated by me ...I read it
>from what I consider to be a reliable source) given a minimum 12 team draft
>of at least 14 rounds, show that winning teams come from those who pick in
>the 7th, 8th, or 9th slot in the serpentine draft format at a slightly
>higher (noticeable) percentage than those who don't. This tends to support
>the theory that picking either very early, or very late in this style of
>draft tends to punish the owner. However, it's difficult to rationalize
>picking Ladanian Tomlinson as an unfortunate event.
The tough part is when there is a run on WRs or TEs and your pick is
still 18 slots away. If you are in the middle, you are able to act
quicker and grab positions that are draining fast. This especially
applies to tight ends. You have Gonzalez and Gates, and then you drop
off a cliff to the next tier of players.
In one draft I think I really lucked out though. I picked first and
grabbed Manning. Then at 2.10 and 3.1 I took Dom. Davis and K. Jones.
At 4.10 and 5.1 I took Ro. Williams and D. Jax. Next I got Dallas
Clark and Cadlillac. So I definitely had no shot at a top tight end,
I had to focus on RBs and WRs because they were going fast. I suppose
I could have taken LT 1st but I figure Manning has a better chance of
staying healthy and giving me stud numbers all season long.
My complete draft:
1 P. Manning
20 D. Davis
21 K. Jones
40 Ro. Williams
41 D. Jackson
60 Da. Clark
61 C. Williams
80 A. Lelie
81 New England
100 Ro. Smith
101 C. Benson
120 J. Wiggins
121 W. Parker
140 D. Carr
141 J. Reed
.
- References:
- to snake or not to snake
- From: cahgoonis
- Re: to snake or not to snake
- From: Schaeffer
- to snake or not to snake
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