Re: Most overrated (but still HOF caliber) player of all time
- From: Realto Margarino <rm@xxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 22 Dec 2005 08:45:04 GMT
Josh Rosenbluth <jrosenbluth@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> trolled:
> Realto Margarino wrote:
> > Josh Rosenbluth <jrosenbluth@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> trolled:
> >
> >>Realto Margarino wrote:
> >
> >>That is all very fascinating. Now, would you like to take a shot at
> >>answering the question this time?
> >
> > Why should I answer the question? I am not playing poker. If you
> > have a point, simply make it.
> The poker decision is just like the SB decision. It must be made with
> imperfect information. And the evaluation of that decision (was it good
> or not) must be made on the basis of what was known at the time of the
> decision. Agree?
Here you go again with the cross examination. Are you a member of
the Junior Socrates Club or something?
Cards and dice appear to be random because there is no apparent
freewill at hand, unless you believe in a Divine Will. But
ballplayers are different. Everything that a ballplayer does is the
outcome of his psychological and physiological situation or context
and this context is filtered through the athlete's will.
Stat fans are too remote to understand the psychological and
physiological context of the athlete, so they pretend it doesn't
exist, and explain away the errors in their calculations (which are
due to their inability to understand the athlete's context) by
referring to "chance" or "luck." In fact, a good manager knows far
more about the athlete in question. A good manager understands, to
a far greater extent than the stat fan, the psychological and
physiological context of the athlete in question (ie: hung over?
sore back?), and for that reason managers are less likely to err in
their use of the player and the managers are less likely to
attribute the results of performance to luck.
Statfans are quick to criticize management and players over a
strategy when the fact is, the statfans usually have far less
information from which to derive a course of action.
What the statfans claim are the odds of a certain course of action
taking place, can be hilariously wrong simply because the stat fan
does not know nearly as much information as the manager, or the
player's teammates.
cordially, as always,
rm
.
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