Re: So much for working today.



Bernard wrote:

I think thats probably the wisest, decide when you see it at your
doorstep.
If its anything like Irish weather, it'll change by the time you turn off
TV.

That really is the problem. Hurricanes have a nasty habit of fooling
people. Andrew, the worst hurricane ever to hit south Florida, was a
disorganized tropical storm up to about a day before it hit. It went from
nothing, to at category 5 and turned directly toward Miami in no time at
all. Until Andrew, even the most experienced Floridians, or perhaps
especially the most experienced Floridians, took hurricanes pretty casually.
Andrew changed all of that. It blew down concrete block houses. Most
impressive storm.

Last season, Wilma surprised us. It came from the Gulf of Mexico as a
category 3 storm and crossed the state to hit Broward and Palm Beach
counties. I was only expected to be a category 1 by the time it got here.
Crossing land almost always diminishes the power of hurricanes. Wilma,
however, moved so fast that it was still a category 3 when it hit us. It
did more property damage in this area than any hurricane since Andrew.
After the fact, some weather services reported that Wilma actually was only
a category 1. They weren't saying that at the time, and anyone that went
through it doesn't believe a word of it.

Ernesto isn't expected to reach hurricane strength before it hits Florida
and, because it probably will hit in the upper Keys and move up the state,
will probably be even weaker by the time it gets here. Key Largo is about
100 miles from Fort Lauderdale. On the other hand, all of the most
populated areas in south Florida are on the east side of the storm, the side
that will have the strongest winds and higher rainfall. Even if it's a
category 1 storm, it would not be a big deal except for one thing. There
are still a lot of houses and apartment buildings that have not been able to
complete room repairs from last year. Those people may have a problem.

Lee


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