Re: predicting outcomes was: Re: RMA is dying (Hal is an idiot)

on 2008-02-19 11:28 hal@xxxxxxxxxx said the following:
Except...it's NOT a coin-toss experiment. There aren't two outcomes,
yes there are according to Kirk's original question right OR left.
You want to do a simple experiment, you have two half circles R and L.
Ignore straight forward and straight back because that was not part of
the original problem statement. So you have a simple two outcome
probability

That case is two outcome, but that doesn't imply equal likelihood! You are lacking information.

and even if there are, they're not necessarily equally likely!
Ah, yes, THAT is the question. IF they are not equally likely, then
why not? State your data. What is your level of accuracy?

Oh go *** yourself.
My data are that more people are right-handed than left. Therefore, it is more likely that people will lead (or jab) with one hand over another. That is the empirical evidence.

Where are YOUR data? What is YOUR level of accuracy, you stupid obstinate putz?

Here's a thought experiment for you: two outcomes, unequal probability. You can go right or left, but you've got a giant booboo on your left foot and it is painful to step on it. What are the probabilities NOW?

Dude, if we had a 16 lb. sledge, we'd to hammer this into your head, but we'd have to do it by breaking through your pelvis!

well, clearly YOU are the one who does not get it, so stupid is as
stupid does I guess.

Indeed. And I can wear "Hal called me stupid" as a badge of honor.

I mean, it's not that hard Jerr. Look on it as a simple animal
behavior experiment. You are observing a match, and classifying all

It's evidently too hard for you.

I mean *** me, you assholes are always calling me stupid, but none of

Well, your wife certainly doesn't, so it's unsurprising that you've come here trolling for meat.

you apparently have had any fucking science, OR mathematics, and can't
even apply a simple fucking probability model to an every day
occurance. ***, it's a fucking experiment you dumbasses. Try to
apply all the complicated *** they made you sit through between
football practice and try to think through a simple applied math
model.

Hal: I've taught more advanced math, CS and science classes than you ever TOOK. The likelihood that you could "teach" me ANYTHING about math or science is so vanishingly small that it is functionally equivalent to "zero".

Hal

//jbaltz
--
jerry b. altzman jbaltz@xxxxxxxxxxx www.jbaltz.com
thank you for contributing to the heat death of the universe.
.