Re: hal still doesn't understand basic Bernoulli Trial (was: Re: Xiaou? [taptap] Is this thing on?)



Sam the Bam wrote:
Robert Low wrote:

That means if your
first 700 tosses end up with much more heads than tails, the probability
of getting tails in each of your last 300 tosses will be higher than heads.

I've been carefully avoiding even reading this thread except by
accident, ...
What is the chance of such an accident?

On RMA? The probability of accidentally reading a thread
like this is indistinguishable from 1. The probability of
accidentally reading a bit of a thread one is avoiding
is still pretty damned close to 1.
.



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