Re: Boy Scouts make people nervous

On Mon, 20 Mar 2006 08:18:57 -0700, hal wrote:

As for number of possible outcomes, just consider that every path the
coin can take is a possible outcome. We are only "binning" those outcomes
in terms of one of two final resting states.

Irrelevent. So coin tosses are all binned into two outcomes. Two
outcomes with equal likelihood of occurance. *** me, ain't that
amazing? What else would be binned into only two outcomes of equal
liklihood of occurance? Anything with only two possible outcomes.
Anything, unless we have enough information to conclude one is more
likely to occur than the other. Ain't that neat?

No hal. One determines "coin toss" outcomes to be 50/50 because we *do*
have enough information to draw that conclusion, not because we don't.

Two possible outcomes does *not* equate to even probabilities in the
absence of enough information to make a prediction.

(IH)
.