Re: Hastings



In article <jOudndzzY_dNtOHanZ2dnUVZ_jednZ2d@xxxxxxxxxxx>,
Chess One <OneChess@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
ECF have agreed to be interviewed by Chessville - would you like to compose
a question based on what follows, that I can present to them in your name?

Not really. ECF are "onside" on this, more-or-less; see
"http://www.bcf.org.uk/grading/2006/stat-gs_oct06.htm";. There is
some later info floating around, but I haven't seen it on the Web.

I do, as an aside, credit David with some sense that there are more GMs in
the pool now, and this would therefore stabilise or substantialise the
high-end of the pool against statistical-widow data.

"More GMs" does nothing to stabilise the pool if it is merely
a reflexion of ratings inflation. FIDE [and ECF, and USCF etc if
they are seeing the same phenomena] need to identify the underlying
causes of ratings drifts, and cure them. I have my own suspicions,
but it would be a major research exercise to do the statistics on
the available data. FWIW, my impression is that the "good club
player" level, at around 200 ECF, 2200 FIDE, is not *yet* very much
affected, at least in the UK, which could [if confirmed] serve to
"anchor" any re-rating exercise.

--
Andy Walker
Nottingham
.