Re: GammonEmpire/Play65 a "thief" Site
- From: Pete Lederer <plederer@xxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sat, 29 Oct 2005 20:19:37 +0200
On 29 Oct 2005 10:18:46 -0700, "Raccoon" <racgammon@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>Pete Lederer wrote:
>> Instead of arguing on and on and on I will ask you a question about a
>> hypothetical statistical experiment.
>
>I'd rather discuss why Snowie player records are or are not a reliable
>basis for determining whether the results of the analyzed matches are
>statistically improbable, much less whether they are a reliable basis
>for concluding that the server where the matches were played is rigged
>.... but ok, I'll play along.
>
>> A friend gives you a coin. He tells you to toss this coin a 100 times to see how
>> often you get heads or tails. You are not allowed to check the coin in your
>> hand. You are only allowed to look at the coin when it lies on the floor.
>>
>> You get heads 100 times (all the times!).
>>
>> What do you conclude?
>
>I conclude that my friend's name is Weisenheimer, and that to this
>rhetorical question you have in mind another answer with which you will
>be forthcoming.
OK, i realize it is useless to discuss with you. I don´t understand what´s the
reason. Maybe you lack some knowledge about statistics and don´t want to admit
it. Maybe there is another reason why you flee into polemics.
But what I really see is that you don´t understand how statistical
considerations are being used in a scientific way. One has to compare what he
does expect and what he really gets. If there is a big difference between these
two facts he has to reason about it.
TRUEMONEYGAMES has an easy resort out of this dilemma. They should have audited
their server software by a third party company. That is what a serious gambling
company would do.
You, Mr. Raccoon, did not response to this demand. You only threw some
smoke-balls between my arguments. Thank you for your assistance in our
discussion.
.
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