Re: @ Beldin - probability and likelihood

On Aug 8 2008 10:32 PM, Beldin the Sorcerer wrote:

"Old Wolf" <oldwolf@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:a33dffa0-39f1-4430-bfe3-2442ba201616@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
On Aug 8, 11:07 pm, "Beldin the Sorcerer" <beldin...@xxxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
If you have a case 1000 known cases of something, there's a statistical
likelihood of them matching the known probabilities.

No there isn't. There's a probability of them matching
the expected values.
Diid you even read what you wrote, shithead?
The 'probability of them matching expected values" is a statistical term,
meaning the confidence that something that is ,say , 10% likely will happen
10% of the time.
That has nothing to do with the expected likelihood of the event.


Likelihood is a term that might mean probability and might mean likelihood
function, depending on context.

Expected likelihood is just a term you made up because you think it sounds
good.

A likelihood function isn't related to confidence of estimates in any
general or technical usage.

But Old Wolf is correct in that within the context of the way he's using
the term likelihood it's just a synonym for probability and I've never in
my life met a statistician who didn't fully understand that popular usage.

Excuse me while I clean out the lint in my navel.


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