Re: Can Barack Omaha win the Presidency?
- From: "Irish Mike" <mjostar@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Thu, 14 Feb 2008 11:50:11 -0500
"There is absolutely no chance that the Party will allow it to go into late
August without a nominee."
I agree, Oprah would never allow it.
Irish Mike
"JerseyRudy" <43083795@xxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:1203004087$1107097@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
On Feb 14 2008 1:50 AM, Tad Perry wrote:
"Lord Turkey Cough" wrote in message
news:5pPsj.107$Ef1.44@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
He seems to be holding the best hand.
Your choices seem to be Hillary, Bill Clinton's less charismatic
sidekick
or that Rebublican guy (I forget his name), who was not clever enough
to dodge the draft apparently.
McCain was proud to join the military and was an officer like his father.
It
didn't have anything to do with the draft in his case.
But as to your question: Barack will probably be locked out of the
nomination.
CNN just aired a show that explained how, even if Barack wins 70% of the
delegates yet to be won, he'll come up short of the number needed. The
same
is true for Clinton.
So, we already know that neither one will be going into the convention
with
enough delegates to be nominated.
And that makes John Edwards the king maker, because one of the two is
going
to need Edward's delegates to get over the top. So look for a
Clinton/Edwards ticket and a bunch of pissed off Obama supporters.
Now, let's say that Obama does somehow come out of a brokered convention
as
the nominee. Well, in that case, I worry that some redneck yahoo that
just
can't stand black people will see to it that he never becomes president
by
killing him.
He's running hot, winning nearly 60% of the vote every time out, and yet
he
has little chance.
American politics.
Go figure.
tvp
It will never get to the convention with the outcome uncertain. The
Superdelegates will give their support to whichever candidate has the lead
in
delegates after the last primary, and that will put that candidate over
the
top.
There is absolutely no chance that the Party will allow it to go into late
August without a nominee. I know the Democratic Party has a tendency to be
their
own worst enemy at times, but there is no way they would allow McCain all
those
months of running a general election campaign while Obama and Clinton
continued
campaigning against each other. That would be the worst tactical decision
since
Hitler invaded Russia.
I know the Republicans are hoping that it happens the way you describe,
and they
would also love a Clinton-Edwards ticket, but it aint gonna happen.
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