PokerTracker advice sought
- From: "Eric Lindholm" <blumberg.NO.lindholm.SPAM@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Tue, 04 Jul 2006 18:14:09 GMT
Hey all (warning: long and possibly boring),
I've been playing low-limit HE for years and am a consistent (modest)
winner. Currently I'm in a deep slump where I'm getting hammered nearly
every time out. It hasn't been going on very long (about six weeks), but
the severity is the worst that I can remember.
Since most likely I'm not playing very well these days, I thought I'd look
at PokerTracker and see what I could find. I started with only the trial
version, so of course I'm looking at a very small sample (940 hands, not
clear why it didn't fill to 1000 but never mind).
All of these stats are from six-max tables.
So far, this is what I've figured out: I'm losing a lot. Can someone help
me sift through the numbers a bit more? With such a small sample, I know it
won't be too revealing, but even so, maybe I can get some clues.
Here are some more specific results:
I've gotten the right number of pocket pairs (56, compared with an expected
55). I have a profit with them of 0.47 big bets per hand. But the profit
is almost entirely from JJ+; from TT on down, it's 0.09 BB/hand. I can't
tell whether the software identifies specifically when I flopped a set, but
I scanned the full list of hands, and only twice did my "final hand" make
trips or a boat. So most likely I haven't made my share of sets.
(By the way, I can't figure out how to use the software to compare my
results with a particular hand to the "field." Any hints would be
appreciated.)
I've had "big" cards (both J or higher) 57 times (expected 68). I've
invested in these hands every time except three (twice with KQ and once with
KJ). Overall I've lost 0.44 BB/hand with them, making a profit only with
AQ. With AK I have twice hit the flop and been drawn out on, which accounts
for most of the losses, but I have also paid off a couple of random pairs
for small pots.
I've had 39 suited aces (expected 34), losing 0.47 BB/hand. There is no
clear trend by kicker; AKs-ATs have done even worse (-1.22). I've played 32
of the 39 suited aces, calling raises cold with Axs twice, which I can't
justify (although as it turns out one of those was a big win, so that play
can't be blamed for this particular set of losses). In this sample, there
is no case of my pairing my ace and paying off a better kicker. I've made
two flushes, one of which then lost to a full house.
Suited kings and queens have cost me 0.28 BB/hand, although of course I
don't play those as often. The loss is a little less when the kickers are
larger. Midrange suited one- and two-gappers have cost me 0.26, but a lot
of that is attributable to blinds, since I don't voluntarily invest in them
that often. (Is there an easy way to use the software to screen out big
blind deals?)
With JTs-32s, I'm even (-0.01). I have played 65s and 54s only once each,
losing small pots uneventfully, and 43s and 32s zero times. 76s flopped two
pair and lost to a flush, so that was expensive. With JTs-87s, I have a
profit of 0.41, mainly because of the hand where T9s rivered a boat against
a straight.
I have played A9o-A7o more than half the time, either open-raising or
overcalling, and these have cost me 0.41. Again, there is no case of my
flopping an ace and paying off a better kicker. With A6o-A2o I don't do
anything but steal, which has been about a break-even play (-0.05).
I rarely play other hands. I guess I should have included ATo-JTo, but
whatever.
Does anything jump out with these numbers? If anyone can tolerate more of
this, I can also post some position and preflop raising stats, but I'm
already wary of the sarcasm that this post is likely to inspire.
Thanks.
.
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