Re: Call or fold?
- From: "torx" <knopf_ii@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 30 Oct 2005 15:15:14 -0800
2nd hour so i'm assuming you're still very far from the money.
you didn't say if she was a solid player or if you had any other read on
her.
the time article that was posted just yesterday says that women rarely
bluff, but i'm not sure if i would take that into account.
you said you're one of the biggest stacks of the tourney, so it would
probably be a bad idea to gamble that even with a 50-50 chance on 2-1
odds, so this alone makes a pretty strong case for a fold.
one of the biggest stacks far from the money, coinflip (at best ?), i'm
saying fold is the best option (and i'm not saying i would in the same
situation without alot of thought)
On Oct 30 2005 11:03 PM, veeRob wrote:
> So I played the $200 tourny at Binion's last night (got 2nd for a little
> over $2k), and a hand came up that I'd love to hear your opinions on. I
> amassed a big chip stack early, and was sitting with around 13k in the
> second hour. A lady was at my table that had me covered by just a bit,
> and she was the only one that had me covered I believe.
>
> She raises UTG from I believe 800 to 1600. As she put her chips in, she
> claims she meant to make it 2400, but didn't realize what the blinds were.
> Two folds to me, and I look down at Jc Jh. I'm a bit confused as to her
> raise... does she have a monster or does she have nothing? Do I call or
> do I re-raise? I figure I'm best off reraising now to find out if she has
> a bigger pair, as she'd most likely come over the top with KK and AA, and
> possibly QQ. If she has a hand like AK/AQ, she'll probably just call, and
> I can probably get her to fold smaller pairs. So I re-raise to something
> like 3800. Another player calls all in (very few chips, insignificant).
> The rest fold to her and she calls.
>
> The flop comes 9c 5c 3c, and she goes all in. Now this is a big
> decision... do I fold or call here. I look down again and see I have the
> Jc, so I have that working for me. I figure she couldn't have flopped a
> set as she couldn't call a reraise with 99, 55, or 33. She might have
> flopped a flush if she has Ac Kc or something like that. But it really
> feels like she has something like Ac Qd. If that's the case, we're a coin
> flip to win the hand.
>
> If I'm right, I'm putting my tournament on the line for a 50-50. Then
> again, I am getting 2-1 pot odds on the call. If I'm wrong and she's
> flopped a big flush, I'm drawing dead. But I can't buy that... why would
> anyone play a made flush like that? It's also possible she has TT, even
> with a club, and thinks she has the best hand by far.
>
> So do you call all in here or fold?
>
> --
> Full Tilt Poker :: http://www.fulltiltpoker.com/?aff=394&code=
-Alexander Knopf
https://secure.pokerchamps.com/pokerpublic/arequest?acode=TORX
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