Re: Lottery facts for Sherry

Abraxas, you have to understand that neither John nor Gerry has any real
grasp of the conceptual differences between theory and mathematical truth.

The difference between 1/49 and 1/48 is 0.0004252.

That doesn't even rise to the level of a significant
quibble.
That's like saying 4.3+4.5 = almost 9

That doesn't fly in the world of mathematics.



Had the sexton used by Columbus had been off by 0.0004252 per nautical mile
he would has sailed of the edge of the world instead of Discovering America.
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"Abraxas" <dontbother@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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"Gerry" <tulalip@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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"Abraxas" <dontbother@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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"John Griffin" <thathillbilly@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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"Abraxas" <dontbother@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

"John Griffin" <thathillbilly@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
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1) Every ball in a lottery bin has precisely (*) the same
probability of coming up next.

Totally incorrect. The product of:

It's totally correct, fool. You are flailing under the
misapprehension
that your futile daydreams change the facts.


Six balls are to be drawn from a "bin" that contains 49 balls that are
numbered 1-49. The probability that any ball will be picked first is
1/49.
The "bin" now contains 48 balls. The probability that any remaining
ball
will be drawn next is 1/48. Do you see where this is going yet? Perhaps
your
thoroughly fucked-up version of reality allows for 1/49 to be precisely
equivalent to 1/48 or ultimately 1/44. The <correct> reality that the
rest
of humanity inhabits doesn't. The statement that you presented as a
fact
is
clearly incorrect.

It's a meaningless and useless nit. The difference between 1/49 and 1/48
is 0.0004252. That doesn't even rise to the level of a significant
quibble.
I thought about adding up all the differences but decided it would be a
waste
of time.


"Nit" or not, there is clearly a lack of equivalence, no matter how bloody
small. John's statement is false. End of argument.

Do you incorporate that calc into your lotto play and sit there
breathing
heavily as each ball is drawn?

You can niggle with John all you want but in the end it just doesn't
matter
and you know that. It isn't anything for someone to hang their hat on
and
try to make the case the draw is predictable. If you disagree and
support
that
with credible data you will be saying something about lotto I don't
already know :-)

Gee whiz Paul, you have said many times the outcome is determined by
luck.
I wonder why you want to get into a pissing contest over such a tiny
difference.

Semper Fi


Simple answer...John purposely spreads disinformation in the guise of
irrefutable fact. Keyword here is "difference". It exists. He is wrong on
this one and I have shown the proof of that.

This has absolutely nothing to do with predictability, luck or pissing
contests, so I'll pass on the opportunity to comment on any of that.




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