Re: How Many Sevens Should You Expect in Six Throws of the Dice?



Actually rolling the dice does not confirm basicstrategy777's misreading of the
essay. Rolling the dice confirms the calculation ("actual probability numbers")
that current probability does not change based on any past results.

That is why the house books your bets at exactly the same odds without regard to
previous events. The house knows that this is true.
--
Onward thru the fog,
Mason


"basicstrategy777" <ninonistri@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:b5e341916d649bdf30f1cce7e2f79cd7@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> It appears big Al is using math to support the number due theory. He
> states, "The table shows that of the alternative individual sequences, six
> non sevens is the most likely at nearly 33.5 % (actually it's 33.49 % ).
> So, what he is saying is, the chances of not throwing a seven in 6 rolls
> of the dice is 33.49 % ....THIS means that the chance of a seven appearing
> is 66.51 %. AND, the more non-sevens you throw the greater the chance it
> will appear (according to his math). In short, the more rolls the seven
> has not appeared the greater the odds that...IT"S DUE.
>
> The table also shows, the more sevens you throw
> the less the odds of rolling another seven; hence, the opposite (the
> fewer sevens that show, the greater the chance you will throw one )is also
> true.
>
> Granted, we are only talking about a six roll series, however, if you
> extend it out furher than 6 rolls it only makes the probability numbers
> stronger reflecting the 7 is due.
>
> I knew you guys would eventually start to get it.
>
> 777
>


.



Relevant Pages

  • Re: Testing number due theory
    ... There is a non-zero probability that the ... seven will never appear in the next X rolls. ... dice, ... independent yet they conform to a strict frequency distribution. ...
    (rec.gambling.craps)
  • Re: Clarification of Importance of Questions
    ... disguise it in the context of dice for confidentiality. ... 7 of the pairs to be identical out of 50 dual rolls? ... the identical pairs must occur in adjacent rolls? ... How would one determine the probability that this ...
    (sci.stat.consult)
  • Re: Clarification of Importance of Questions
    ... disguise it in the context of dice for confidentiality. ... A person rolls two 10-face, ... An example would be how to test the probability of their getting, ... the identical pairs must occur in adjacent rolls? ...
    (sci.stat.consult)
  • Re: Dice-rolling conundrum (probability, or counting problem)
    ... Suppose I produce a random number by rolling 3 dice and ... This is too high a percentage for me; I'd rather get fewer low rolls. ... So I devise the following alternative: Roll the three dice as before. ... of rolling a low score. ...
    (sci.math)
  • Re: Charting: stocks vs craps
    ... probability theory was a dice problem). ... The solution was in fact the cumulative probability density (cdf, ... n is the # of rolls, ...
    (rec.gambling.craps)