Re: How Many Sevens Should You Expect in Six Throws of the Dice?
- From: "Mason" <mrzer0_remove_@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 14 Aug 2005 17:55:06 GMT
Actually rolling the dice does not confirm basicstrategy777's misreading of the
essay. Rolling the dice confirms the calculation ("actual probability numbers")
that current probability does not change based on any past results.
That is why the house books your bets at exactly the same odds without regard to
previous events. The house knows that this is true.
--
Onward thru the fog,
Mason
"basicstrategy777" <ninonistri@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:b5e341916d649bdf30f1cce7e2f79cd7@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> It appears big Al is using math to support the number due theory. He
> states, "The table shows that of the alternative individual sequences, six
> non sevens is the most likely at nearly 33.5 % (actually it's 33.49 % ).
> So, what he is saying is, the chances of not throwing a seven in 6 rolls
> of the dice is 33.49 % ....THIS means that the chance of a seven appearing
> is 66.51 %. AND, the more non-sevens you throw the greater the chance it
> will appear (according to his math). In short, the more rolls the seven
> has not appeared the greater the odds that...IT"S DUE.
>
> The table also shows, the more sevens you throw
> the less the odds of rolling another seven; hence, the opposite (the
> fewer sevens that show, the greater the chance you will throw one )is also
> true.
>
> Granted, we are only talking about a six roll series, however, if you
> extend it out furher than 6 rolls it only makes the probability numbers
> stronger reflecting the 7 is due.
>
> I knew you guys would eventually start to get it.
>
> 777
>
.
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