Re: Morbid Katrina predicitons
- From: "Robert Morein" <nowhere@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2005 23:37:22 -0400
"Clyde Slick" <artsackman@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:1125286094_1771@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> 10,000 dead
> French Quarter gone
> 500,000 homeless
> Most of Greater New Orleans uninhabitable for at least 30 days
> Unsecured industrial toxic waste gets spread through the muck
> in several Gulf Coast cities.
>
> I hope I am not being too optimistic.
>
> any other guesses?
>
This is a question of "do we trust the experts", or do we trust common
sense?
Experts feel obliged to speak to the worst, because there is little risk in
evacuation, but much in staying.
"Common sense", or lack of it, is what causes people to rely on their
previous experiences, rather than understanding.
But experts are not always right. My hope is that, somehow, it will fizzle.
The worst case prediction is that New Orleans will be destroyed as a city.
Would it be wise to rebuild in the same location, with the same
vulnerability?
If I take the expert opinion literally, New Orleans will cease to be, and
will not be restored. A smaller city with a specific economic focus may be
constructed on the natural levees, with additional landfill. A million
Americans will be refugees. The New Orleans of legend and song will vanish
tomorrow, forever.
.
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