Re: Kickoff Curse: First New Show Will Rarely Last

I know that 2 out of 3 is not 25 out of 30. But if the failure rate
for new shows in general is over 2 out of 3, then fewer than 10 of
those 30 kickoff shows would have returned anyway, even without the
kickoff curse. Most of those 25 failed kickoff shows failed just
because most new shows fail; the 5 shows that defied the kickoff curse,
that managed to make it to a second year, would outnumber the fewer
than 5 that specifically failed because of the kickoff curse.

.