Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- From: "Roy A Johnson" <roy@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Fri, 30 Jun 2006 20:03:47 +0100
What we have to realise is that the media is not there to inform or
educate,it is merely there to create interest in in a topic in order to sell
sponsorship or advertising.
How many times have you seen on Tv an announcer saying that there is
important breaking new and after a word from our sponsor we will be telling
you about it.
While any ones death is tragic,because it make the news does not mean risk
of this happening to you has in any way increased.
--
Roy.
http://www.elegantfloridavilla.com NEW DESIGN NOW ON LINE :-)
Our Vacation Rental Home in Florida near Disney ºoº.
Know the value of time,seize and
enjoy every single minute of it.
"ElastiGirl" <mrmrsincred@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:mrmrsincred-37687D.13225730062006@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
I'm truly sorry when families & friends lose loved ones. My Dear Aunt
tells me that the worst pain in the world is when a parent loses a child
because it goes against the natural order, it shakes your world down to
the frame.
But the way these occurrences are reported in the media CLEARLY points
out an ignorance of risk and how to prioritize / evaluate risk (btw: I
can recommend some great books if anyone is interested). An example:
most parents would think themselves very attentive and consider
themselves good parents if they told their 8 year old that they weren't
allowed to play inside a friend's house if that friend's parents had
guns in the home. The same parents would most likely have no similar
reaction / qualms about the same child playing at a different friend's
house where there was a swimming pool. The risk (statistical occurrence)
for children under age 10 of death by pool [1 in 11,000] is MUCH greater
than the risk of death by gun [1 in 1,000,000+]. Direct Quote from a
book I just read "The basic reality is that the risks that scare people
and the risks that kill people are very different."
The outrage (perhaps mild, but they still want to talk about it, as seen
in the mainstream media) over DISNEY having SO MANY deaths is misplaced.
As someone else pointed out earlier, in order to really SEE the RISK,
you have to know how many people passed through the gates of Disney
World theme parks "x" days. Then to construct a survivorship curve or to
create a true picture of the risk you have to select what you're
measuring (options...)
1. how many people died inside WDW theme parks for any reason
2. how many people died as a result of injury / trauma sustained inside
WDW theme parks
3. how many died as a result of natural causes while inside WDW theme
parks or within 24 hrs of a visit to WDW theme parks (this last one
doesn't tell us much, but can be compared to the first 2)
THEN you'd have to get the same numbers for people living in a
metropolitan area or for people living in a rural area. You'd want to
try to stay away from a particular age group as a sub-population b/c you
can't get those sorts of #s for WDW (I don't think)...
So, after a long-winded statistical mini-rant, the point is -- we don't
usually evaluate RISK in it's truest sense. The media seems to be
overpopulated (meaning, not all of them, but MOST of them) with
mathematically illiterate and scientifically ignorant human beings. It's
very easy for them to not understand what they're reporting AND for them
to misinform the public. Grrrrr. Climbing off my soap box.
EG
.
- Follow-Ups:
- Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- From: Rudeney
- Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- From: ElastiGirl
- Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- References:
- Deaths at WDW & Risk
- From: ElastiGirl
- Deaths at WDW & Risk
- Prev by Date: Re: Another death at Disney
- Next by Date: Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- Previous by thread: Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- Next by thread: Re: Deaths at WDW & Risk
- Index(es):
Relevant Pages
|
