Re: Noel death toll rises to 81; storm eyes Florida

On Nov 5, 10:51 pm, Dan <dnada...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
hot-ham-and-che...@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
On Nov 5, 1:12 pm, Dan <dnada...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
hot-ham-and-che...@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
On Nov 5, 1:15 am, Dan <dnada...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
hot-ham-and-che...@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
On Nov 3, 2:07 am, Dan <dnada...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
hot-ham-and-che...@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
On Nov 2, 9:36 pm, Li RM <li_rm35m4...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On Fri, 02 Nov 2007 15:41:01 -0800, Dan <dnada...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Li RM wrote:
On Wed, 31 Oct 2007 21:30:53 -0800, Dan <dnada...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Bob Brock wrote:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21526342/
Now, let's see. Noel. That would be the 13th named storm of the
ATLANTIC Hurricane season, would it not...
Dan
And your point is?
Just pointing out the obvious (actually 14th, d'oh) to the people who
insist this hurricane season is lighter than usual...
Dan
http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/
"Unless a dramatic and historical flurry of activity occurs in
November and December, 2007 will rank as a historically inactive TC
year for the Northern Hemisphere as a whole.
During past 30 years, only 1977 has had less activity to date Jan
1-Oct 31. (Update Oct 30*: IMAGE: January-TODAY, Accumulated Cyclone
Energy )
For the period of June 1 - Oct 31, only 1977 has experienced LESS
tropical cyclone activity than 2007..."
They'll name anything these days...
They'll say anything these days, especially after their head hits the
platter...
Dan- Hide quoted text -
- Show quoted text -
Notice in the POST ANALYSIS, Katrina was lowered one storm category on
making land fall...
Perhaps NOAA/NWS/NHC over-forecasts storms.
Or perhaps hurricanes lose energy when disconnected from their energy
source.
You don't say.
I did say.

And perhaps hurricanes are reevaluated on an ongoing basis,
Indeed they are.
changing category levels throughout their lives based on measurements
taken from the storms themselves.
Hey, you just may have watched the news.
Once or twice in my life.

Or, perhaps Hammie is a supergenius and knows more than the people whose
job it is to actually DO things...
Dan, is that what you do? Is tropical storm analysis your job?
No, but I do keep well-read on many subjects, especially science and
history.

Dan
Perhaps what you don't know is that at the conclusion of a storm, all
of the information is gathered and a "Post Analysis" is performed.
To be honest, I did miss that phrase, yet my comments still apply.

Sorry, Dan, but your comments are inapplicable at this point.

Dang. Foiled again by decree of the Hamster.

That is what I'm talking about. Apparently you don't know about post
analysis.
Apparently you are talking through your hat.

Apparently, I am not.

Your claim, you demonstrate. Don't worry, I won't hold my breath.

And no, I'm not a "supergenius." I used to "actually DO" storm
analysis.
So, there has NEVER been a case where the POST ANALYSIS pushed a storm
into a higher category? What does the post-analysis have to do with
"over-forecasts storms?" Do you even understand what "forecast" means?
Do you understand statistical methods?

Do you know just how stupid you made yourself look? You need to defer
to smarter people than yourself.

I'll take that as an "I can't answer any of those questions."

Thanks.

And what did your comment have to do with the topic being discussed, to
which, supposedly, you were responding?

Dan

My comments had to do with your lunacy. I was trying to be polite,
but you make that quite impossible.

I fail to see any comments of yours supporting my sanity.

But we'll just call this interchange over, since you have taken it so
far off topic it isn't even in the same space-time continuum.

It has been fun toying with you as you wander along aimlessly, but to
important things I must go.

Dan

Poor Dan. He thinks talk of meteorology, tropical cyclone analysis,
and post-analysis are off-topic in a thread about a hurricane.

No wonder he's teaching global warming and socialism in a middle
school. Poor Kids.

.

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