Re: Heads Up
- From: "Sheerluck" <sheerluck@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 15 Jan 2006 20:43:11 +1100
"Lawrence Glickman" <Lawrence_Glickman@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message > You
know, the *wild card* in this is Pakistan, IMO. They have divided
> loyalties, and might feel compelled to join into the foray. That
> would give India the chance it has been waiting for ( they are mortal
> enemies with Pakistan ), and things could get rolling from there. In
> which case, Syria might feel compelled to become involved in some way,
> and then whomever else has a *grudge* south of the equator.
>
> NORTH of the equator, blissful Peace will prevail. Germany, Korea,
> China, Russia, USA, England, France, will just turn on the VCR to
> record this slugfest south of Zero degrees longitude. What we refer
> to as the Mideast, INCLUDING Israel of course, will become quite a
> mess I am predicting. Of course, I have been wrong about these things
> before, but my errors are mostly in reference to WHEN not IF.
>
> I predicted a _divided_ Jerusalem. Years ago. I was scoffed at.
> Because neither the Israelis nor the Palestinians will settle for
> that; they each want the entire pie for themselves. Well...time
> changes things a little bit. They might cut the baby in two, and hand
> 1/2 to the pallies, and 1/2 to Israel, before or after the mushroom
> clouds dissipate.
>
> My guess is nuclear will be used on the underground facilities I have
> posted links to, because there is nothing we have in the way of
> conventional bunker busters that can go that deep through that much
> reinforced concrete, and have enough *guts* left over to incinerate
> the large complexes. Tactical Nuclear Weapons at first. Maybe
> followed by Strategic Nuclear Weapons shortly thereafter...measure
> either in minutes, hours, or days.
>
> My Strategy is to make the first strike count, because whomever throws
> the first punch may not get a chance to throw a second one.
>
> Lg
>
I've thought about the Pakistan issue . Their next door neighbour , India ,
is just waiting for them to kick their dog/leave the trash out/start using
nukes . In practical terms , Pakistan's best choice would be to keep a low
profile and mind their own business . Of course , where
passions/religion/race issues are involved , not everyone does the rational
thing .
I think you're right in that Israel will make their first shot a doozy ,
because things have a way of getting out of hand really quickly . This is
one of the reasons I think they'll start with tactical nukes , because an
ineffective conventional strike will do more harm than good .
The major players ( the nuclear club) will probably treat this as a
spectator sport , and will not get involved .
Hope everyone here is stocked up before the sheeple start panic-buying .
Sheerluck
.
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