Re: Support OIl Driilling Off Florida!


"Dave Head" <rally2xs@xxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:7ntl54hiv6aetpk86jrive3bo6n91umlud@xxxxxxxxxx
On Thu, 19 Jun 2008 16:45:02 -0700, "Ernie Jurick"
<invalidexample@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

So long as you think more oil is the solution to diminishing oil you're
missing the problem.

The problem is that we are all f'n going to go broke. People aren't going
to
be able to go to the ski slope, and those recreational workers will go
bankrupt. Have you noticed the amusement parks advertising like crazy on
the
tube? They didn't used to do that. Its because people aren't showing up,
and
this is at $4 a gallon gas. Wait 'til it gets to $8. They will be out of
business, _all_ of them. Like rollercoasters? Better ride now, while you
can.
Its happening all around us, and by the time we get to $8, $10, whatever
per
gallon, people will be staying home so much that movie theaters will go
belly
up, there will be no pleasure boats, etc. and unemployment will be in the
25% -
50% range, since there won't be any money left over after necessary
driving to
do anything that doesn't involve going to work and coming back from work,
plus
food. Hopefully food, although a lot of lower income people won't be able
to
afford that, either.

Now take a look at all the essential industries you're defending: ski
resorts (who are out of luck due to global warming anyway), amusement parks,
rollercoasters, movie theatres, pleasure boats-- these are all part of the
problem. If gas had always been $5 a gallon they would never have been built
in the first place. They were an aberration caused by cheap gas, and that
time is over now. Time to adapt. They made heaps of money for decades, and
those decades have come to an end.

We'll have people capable of calculus getting jobs stocking shelves at the
local grocery because they can walk to that job, but would have to drive
50
miles to get to the job at DARPA.

As a former contract employee of DARPA I can assure you most people
telecommute these days. They were the first to do so.

They can't afford to move, 'cuz all the
housing in big cities, close to any kind of work, will be impossibly
expensive.

Air travel? There will likely be 1/10 or less of the flights available
as
there are now, and all the seats will be priced as first class is now.
IOW,
only the top 5% of income people will be able to fly.

Yes, the days of cheap fuel are gone. What's your point? That trashing the
ANWR will make everything all better the week after next?

More oil only postpones the inevitable. High prices are
doing what they're supposed to do: persuading people to drive less.
http://www.usatoday.com/printedition/news/20070518/1a_lede18.art.htm
-- Ernie

Taken to its eventual conclusion, nobody will be going anywhere but to
work and
back, and the smarter ones will quit and go on welfare.

No, the society will adapt or die, as all societies do. I have far more
faith in human ingenuity than you do. There will be a shakeup, a change of
partners, and the dance will continue. When the automobile came along and
hundreds of thousands of highly skilled farriers, wheelwrights, coachmakers,
harness makers, grooms, coachmen, livery stable and drayage operators were
unemployed in the course of a decade, did America fall apart?

Going to town once every 2 months for a haircut will be the highlight of
people's lives. They won't be able to afford anything else, because all
the
money is going for gasoline to go to work.

Yes, that's all you can see, because you can't see the alternatives. As they
say, there are people who make things happen, people who watch things happen
and people who wonder what happened. You've picked Door #3. I haven't. I
think these are exciting times, and that post-oil America can be a vastly
richer place than it was.
-- Ernie


.

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